Customize Consent Preferences

We use cookies to help you navigate efficiently and perform certain functions. You will find detailed information about all cookies under each consent category below.

The cookies that are categorized as "Necessary" are stored on your browser as they are essential for enabling the basic functionalities of the site. ... 

Always Active

Necessary cookies are required to enable the basic features of this site, such as providing secure log-in or adjusting your consent preferences. These cookies do not store any personally identifiable data.

No cookies to display.

Functional cookies help perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collecting feedback, and other third-party features.

No cookies to display.

Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics such as the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.

No cookies to display.

Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.

No cookies to display.

Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with customized advertisements based on the pages you visited previously and to analyze the effectiveness of the ad campaigns.

No cookies to display.

Over 3.5 Goals Dropping Odds

Welcome to Over 3.5 Goals Dropping Odds monitoring. We use Bet365 over 3.5 goals and start monitoring them a couple of days before the match starts. The odds are updated every hour and fixtures are sorted by the biggest Over 3.5 Goals dropping odds movements (ordered by the highest % chance increase).

Over 3.5 Goals Dropping Odds are very popular selections for over 3.5 goals that resulted in the price (odds) decreasing. When a selection, in this case Over 3.5 goals, gets heavily backed, the bookmakers defend themselves by dropping (decreasing) their odds. This implies that the chance of Over 3.5 goals outcome increases, however, that’s often not the case.

Most of the football fixtures and markets such as Over 3.5 Goals are priced by the bookies a few days in advance (in some cases it’s even weeks or months – e.g. International tournaments, cup fixtures etc.). Hence, we can monitor the odds and see which matches are fancied for over 3.5 goals.

There are 4 main types/stages of Over 3.5 Goals dropping odds that can occur during different time intervals:

  1. Days, weeks or months in advance – they are mostly caused by a drastic change in form, major injuries or other bad team news.
  2. Overnight odds movements – most of them are caused by punters backing their selections for the day ahead, tipsters publishing their picks and their keen followers backing them too.
  3. Changes in odds during the game before the kick-off – these prices are being moved by the casual and mug punters who look to back popular selections on the day. These often become so-called public bets and generally offer very little value.
  4. An hour before the kick-off – the odds are purely driven by the line ups announcement and people reacting to the bad/good teams’ news.

Following the Over 3.5 Goals dropping odds tips may sound to many as a daft idea as the odds have already moved and will be betting at worse odds. Betting at smaller odds will obviously make a difference to your profit/loss figures as you won’t be getting the early good odds.

On the other hand, it will depend on how quickly you will spot the dropping odds movements. If you start monitoring the odds a night in advance or early in the morning, you may find that you are getting enough edge if you still manage to beat the bookies’ closing odds.

Sample idea to use the dropping odds features:

  • Start with monitoring the early drops e.g. night or 2 nights in advance
  • make a shortlist of selections that have steamed in price (odds dropped by a small %)
  • research those matches to get a better understanding of why a particular betting outcome is backed and fancied by early punters (this can be done by checking stats, trends, teams’ news, morale, motivation and other circumstances).
  • makes note of further odds drops and final scores

Dropping odds strategies may be more effective for certain competitions and you may find yourself having better success in those smaller and minor leagues & competitions. It’s purely because bookies won’t have those leagues as well researched and may leave generous prices.

Furthermore, you can use these dropping odds fixtures for our Pre Kick Off Football Trading strategies.

Find the biggest Over 3.5 Goals Dropping Odds instantly!

You are browsing sample dropping odds only. The full data is available for FTT & PRO members only!

Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!

More Over 3.5 Goals Football Betting & Trading Resources:

ajax-loader