How the Card Tiers Work

Each Momentum Card shows a tier based on the odds at the time the pick was generated. The tier is not a guarantee, it’s a quick guide to risk, variance and how “swingy” a system can feel.

Odds Brackets & Card Tiers

• Gold – odds < 2.20
  Shorter-priced selections. These will win more often but usually at lower returns per bet.
• Silver – odds from 2.20 up to < 3.00
  Mid-range prices where you still see a decent hit-rate, but swings start to get more noticeable.
• Bronze – odds from 3.00 up to < 5.00
  Bigger prices. Fewer winners, higher volatility, but a single winner moves the P/L more.
• Wildcard – odds ≥ 5.00
  High-risk, high-reward territory. Long losing runs are completely normal; these should be treated as speculative rather than core staking.

What This Means in Practice

As a rough guide, if a price was “fair” in the long run:

• Odds 2.00 imply a breakeven hit rate of about 50%.
• Odds 2.50 imply breakeven around 40%.
• Odds 3.00 imply breakeven around 33%.
• Odds 5.00 imply breakeven around 20%.

Even with a solid edge, you will still see losing runs. As a very broad feel:

• Gold – it’s normal to hit losing runs of 5–8 bets in a row.
• Silver – losing runs of 8–12 bets can happen.
• Bronze – losing runs of 12–18 bets are not unusual.
• Wildcard – you must be prepared for long spells with no winners at all.

These are examples, not promises. Real results will swing above and below any long-term average.

Staking & Bankroll Guidelines

Nothing here is financial advice, but some common-sense principles:

• Use a separate betting bankroll. Only risk money you can afford to lose.
• Flat stakes are simpler. For most users, a small flat stake (e.g. 0.25–1% of your bankroll per bet) is safer than constantly changing stakes.
• Adjust stake by tier, not by “feel”.
  For example:
  • Gold / Silver – your “normal” stake.
  • Bronze – consider using half your normal stake.
  • Wildcard – consider using a token or very small stake, if you play them at all.
• Expect variance. Even good systems have rough patches. The tiers are there to help you mentally prepare for how “bumpy” each type of bet can be.

The card colour tells you how aggressive the price is. It does not mean “safe vs unsafe” or “guaranteed vs risky” – every selection can lose, and long losing runs are part of any serious betting approach.