Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins For Football Betting & Trading
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 02:00 | Ballard | Tacoma Stars | 0.00 | 4.76 | 5.56 | 23.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 18:00 | PEPO | HaPK | 7.69 | 2.78 | 2.17 | 21.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Lebanon | Premier League | 14:00 | Safa | Tadamon Sour | 7.14 | 9.09 | 6.25 | 25.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | Ilves | KTP | 3.13 | 3.33 | 2.94 | 11.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | World | CONCACAF Gold Cup | 00:00 | United States | Guatemala | 4.55 | 3.33 | 3.33 | 11.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | The Villages | Brevard Fire | 100.00 | 3.70 | 4.35 | 10.80 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | Inter Turku | Mariehamn | 10.00 | 8.33 | 4.76 | 13.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League One | 03:00 | Spokane Velocity | Texoma | 6.25 | 4.17 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | PuiU Helsinki | JPS | 4.17 | 5.56 | 4.35 | 9.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | HJK | Jaro | 7.69 | 5.88 | 6.25 | 9.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Bragantino U20 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 2.56 | 1.72 | 2.04 | 4.29 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Miami | Miami AC | 4.76 | 4.17 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Uzbekistan | Professional Football League | 23:00 | Sogdiana | Kokand-1912 | 9.09 | 2.86 | 3.23 | 5.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Finland | Ykkonen | 16:30 | Lahti | JIPPO | 10.00 | 2.63 | 1.69 | 4.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 02:00 | Project 51O | Marin | 5.00 | 4.76 | 5.26 | 6.50 |
1 | 03/07/2025 | USA | Major League Soccer | 00:30 | New York City | Toronto | 3.45 | 3.85 | 7.14 | 5.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | MuSa | HPS | 2.70 | 2.38 | 2.08 | 4.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 02:00 | Lane United | Bangers | 2.27 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 3.25 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:30 | Ironbound | Morris Elite | 2.78 | 1.19 | 1.27 | 2.48 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Copa Rio | 19:00 | Resende | Perolas Negras | 2.33 | 2.38 | 2.44 | 3.63 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | GrIFK | MYPA | 2.33 | 2.56 | 2.56 | 3.80 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | VIFK | JS Hercules | 2.04 | 2.70 | 2.56 | 3.80 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Australia | Northern Nsw | 11:00 | Weston Bears | Lambton Jaffas | 4.00 | 2.94 | 2.04 | 4.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 19:00 | Thór | Thróttur Reykjavík | 2.33 | 2.78 | 2.94 | 3.79 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 03:00 | San Francisco City | SF Glens | 3.33 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 2.78 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 23:30 | Weston | 1.79 | 2.56 | 2.70 | 3.50 | |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Bahia U20 | Cruzeiro U20 | 2.13 | 1.82 | 1.39 | 2.51 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | VPS | Haka | 4.00 | 3.03 | 3.23 | 3.70 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 23:00 | North Carolina II | Charlotte Eagles | 2.50 | 2.04 | 2.22 | 2.70 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Eskilsminne | Olympic | 1.45 | 2.17 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League One | 00:00 | Westchester SC | Greenville Triumph | 3.45 | 1.69 | 1.64 | 2.24 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | U19 League | 20:00 | FH / ÍH U19 | Breið / Augn / Smári U19 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 2.60 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:00 | Juan Pablo II College | Melgar | 1.96 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 03:00 | Davis Legacy | Academica | 2.38 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 2.30 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Staten Island Athletic | Long Island Rough Riders | 1.85 | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.42 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Australia | Northern Nsw | 11:00 | Maitland | Broadmeadow Magic | 1.30 | 1.35 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Steel City | Buffalo | 5.88 | 5.88 | 5.88 | 6.06 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Uzbekistan | Professional Football League | 23:00 | Surkhon Termez | Buxoro | 8.33 | 3.33 | 3.03 | 3.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Lebanon | Premier League | 14:30 | Al Nejmeh | Al Ahed | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 01:30 | Peoria | Des Moines Menace | 5.00 | 2.38 | 1.92 | 2.38 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kolmonen | 01:00 | Kypärämäki Rangers | Jyväskylä Blackbird | 1.35 | 1.14 | 1.27 | 1.13 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Australia | Northern Nsw | 11:00 | New Lambton | Adamstown Rosebuds | 2.56 | 2.27 | 2.63 | 2.25 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Estonia | Esiliiga B | 17:00 | Paide U21 | Tabasalu | 1.85 | 2.33 | 1.64 | 2.25 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Fluminense U20 | Atlético GO U20 | 10.00 | 9.09 | 10.00 | 9.01 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Ocean City Nor'easters | 0.00 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.69 | |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | Kiffen | HJS Akatemia | 1.67 | 2.56 | 3.85 | 2.45 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | NPSL | 00:00 | Buffalo Stallions | Flower City Union | 1.06 | 1.45 | 1.89 | 1.28 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 01:00 | Birmingham Legion | Charleston Battery | 1.59 | 1.85 | 2.56 | 1.65 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 23:00 | Seacoast United Phantoms | Vermont Green | 1.18 | 1.79 | 2.44 | 1.57 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Lebanon | Premier League | 14:30 | Al Hikma | Al Ansar | 1.35 | 1.54 | 1.28 | 1.30 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | Atlantis II | P-Iirot | 1.04 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.33 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | U19 League | 21:00 | KR / KV U19 | Stjarnan / KFG / Álf U19 | 1.43 | 2.13 | 1.96 | 1.87 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 20:15 | Grindavík | Njardvík | 1.19 | 2.08 | 2.04 | 1.65 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | Pepsideild | 20:15 | Afturelding | Breidablik | 2.56 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 1.70 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Copa Rio | 19:00 | Duque de Caxias | Carapebus | 1.54 | 5.56 | 6.25 | 5.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Botafogo U20 | Gremio U20 | 8.33 | 4.17 | 3.57 | 3.48 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Syria | Premier League | 15:00 | Karama | Wahda | 4.35 | 4.55 | 3.45 | 3.80 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | 3. Deild | 20:15 | Árbær | Hvíti riddarinn | 1.35 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.10 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League One | 23:30 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Alta | 4.00 | 4.35 | 3.85 | 3.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Finland | Kolmonen | 16:30 | Kultsu | MiPK | 1.32 | 2.78 | 3.03 | 1.93 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Latvia | Virsliga | 17:00 | Metta / LU | Tukums | 3.70 | 3.33 | 3.13 | 2.40 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Lansing City | Oakland County | 1.30 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 1.42 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 23:00 | West Virginia Chaos | 1.79 | 3.23 | 2.70 | 2.20 | |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 20:00 | Unión La Calera | Coquimbo Unido | 2.94 | 2.94 | 4.35 | 1.85 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Iceland | 1. Deild Women | 20:15 | HK W | Grótta W | 3.57 | 3.57 | 2.86 | 2.34 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Akron City | Toledo Villa | 1.61 | 4.35 | 3.85 | 3.10 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 23:00 | Vasco U20 | Palmeiras U20 | 2.27 | 3.23 | 2.13 | 1.95 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | NJS | Ilves II | 1.47 | 2.56 | 3.33 | 1.27 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Faroe Islands | Meistaradeildin | 19:00 | Víkingur | KÍ | 1.28 | 3.03 | 2.33 | 1.71 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Sao Paulo U20 | Juventude U20 | 5.88 | 9.09 | 7.69 | 7.71 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 01:00 | St. Croix | Minneapolis City | 2.27 | 3.03 | 2.86 | 1.58 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kolmonen | 15:00 | LAUTP | IPS Edustus | 8.33 | 5.56 | 6.25 | 4.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 18:00 | PPJ | TPV | 2.22 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | Vaajakoski | Honka | 1.20 | 3.13 | 2.70 | 1.20 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | Estonia | Esiliiga A | 17:00 | Nõmme Kalju II | Nõmme United | 1.05 | 3.33 | 1.54 | 1.10 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 01:30 | Deportes Limache | Cobreloa | 2.27 | 6.67 | 5.88 | 4.33 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Brazil | Brasileiro U20 | 19:00 | Atletico-PR U20 | Fortaleza U20 | 5.88 | 7.14 | 5.88 | 4.00 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL League Two | 00:00 | Nona | Inter Gainesville | 0.00 | 9.09 | 12.50 | 5.75 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 23:00 | La Serena | San Luis | 4.76 | 10.00 | 5.56 | 5.50 |
0 | 03/07/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Loudoun United | Orange County | 6.67 | 8.33 | 3.33 | 3.70 |
0 | 02/07/2025 | Uzbekistan | Professional Football League | 23:00 | Shurtan | Qizilqum | 1.96 | 7.14 | 11.11 | 1.90 |