Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins For Football Betting & Trading
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution Odds For Away Wins
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | América W | Puebla W | 1.82 | 2.50 | 3.70 | 56.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Brazil | Paulista Women | 22:00 | São Paulo W | AERP W | 4.35 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 46.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Asia | AFC Cup | 13:00 | Persib | Manila Digger | 1.43 | 2.13 | 1.54 | 23.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Beşiktaş | St Patrick's | 1.01 | 2.50 | 3.33 | 19.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Brøndby IF | Víkingur Reykjavík | 0.00 | 1.64 | 1.59 | 10.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 18:00 | Noah | Lincoln Red Imps | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.28 | 9.50 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Bhutan | Bhutan Premier League | 13:00 | Thimphu City | Ugyen Academy | 16.67 | 4.35 | 6.67 | 11.69 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hamrun Spartans | 12.50 | 2.78 | 2.44 | 10.00 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:00 | Botafogo | LDU Quito | 7.14 | 2.50 | 2.08 | 9.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Bolton Wanderers | Sheffield Wednesday | 1.64 | 2.78 | 5.26 | 9.00 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 1. Deild Women | 20:15 | HK W | IA Akranes W | 4.17 | 3.23 | 3.70 | 9.00 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Russia | Youth League | 13:00 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | Krylya Sovetov U19 | 7.69 | 4.35 | 3.70 | 9.45 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | England | Non League Div One: Isthmian South East | 19:45 | Hastings United | Eastbourne Town | 0.00 | 2.27 | 3.13 | 7.07 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Malaysia | Super League | 14:00 | Terengganu | PDRM | 7.69 | 4.35 | 6.25 | 8.25 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 4. Deild | 21:00 | KH | Hafnir | 2.94 | 2.50 | 2.78 | 5.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 19:00 | Keflavík | Grindavík | 2.78 | 4.17 | 3.03 | 7.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Austria Wien | Baník Ostrava | 0.00 | 2.33 | 2.86 | 5.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 20:00 | Legia Warszawa | AEK Larnaca | 6.67 | 2.70 | 2.78 | 5.25 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | 2. Deild | 19:00 | Ægir | Thróttur Vogar | 4.35 | 2.56 | 2.56 | 5.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Neman Grodno | KÍ | 5.00 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 4.10 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | AEK Athens | Aris Limassol | 0.00 | 3.57 | 4.76 | 5.75 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Flamengo | Internacional | 3.70 | 5.56 | 3.85 | 7.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Tigres UANL W | Tijuana W | 7.69 | 7.14 | 7.14 | 9.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Finland | Kolmonen | 17:00 | Kypärämäki Rangers | JJK Jyväskylä II | 1.23 | 1.69 | 1.59 | 3.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Asia | AFC Cup | 13:00 | Regar-TadAZ | Ahal | 1.41 | 2.44 | 1.92 | 4.20 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Kaizer Chiefs | Polokwane City | 8.33 | 3.33 | 2.70 | 5.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Hibernian | Partizan | 1.16 | 1.56 | 1.52 | 3.20 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | USA | US Open Cup | 00:30 | Philadelphia Union | New York RB | 1.64 | 3.13 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Beitar Jerusalem | Riga | 1.06 | 1.27 | 1.19 | 2.88 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Omonia Nicosia | Araz | 0.00 | 4.76 | 3.85 | 6.25 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Austria | Regionalliga: Mitte | 18:00 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | Gleisdorf 09 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 4.35 | 5.42 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:30 | Levadia | Differdange 03 | 0.00 | 2.33 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Brazil | Paulista Women | 23:00 | Palmeiras W | Santos W | 5.26 | 3.45 | 3.23 | 4.75 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 17:00 | FC Midtjylland | Fredrikstad | 3.70 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 5.00 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Austria | Landesliga: Kärnten | 17:30 | SAK Klagenfurt | Dellach im Gailtal | 3.33 | 2.22 | 1.64 | 3.50 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Arda | Kauno Žalgiris | 0.00 | 2.13 | 2.22 | 3.40 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 01:30 | Deportivo Cali | Unión Magdalena | 4.00 | 2.86 | 3.33 | 4.10 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 16:00 | Al Ittihad | Modern Sport FC | 4.00 | 1.85 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 4. Deild | 20:15 | Vængir Jupiters | Ellidi | 5.88 | 2.94 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
1 | 13/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | İstanbul Başakşehir | Viking | 1.45 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Shamrock Rovers | KF Ballkani | 0.00 | 4.35 | 2.94 | 5.25 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | 2. Deild | 19:00 | Vídir | Kári | 3.33 | 2.33 | 3.23 | 3.13 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Canada | Championship | 03:00 | Vancouver FC | Atlético Ottawa | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.95 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:30 | Santa Fe | Millonarios | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.70 | 2.75 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Poland | Central Youth League | 10:00 | R. Rzeszow U19 | Zaglebie U19 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.78 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 1. Deild Women | 20:15 | KR W | 2.94 | 1.96 | 1.85 | 2.57 | |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Győri ETO | AIK | 1.22 | 2.78 | 3.33 | 3.30 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:30 | Spartak Trnava | Universitatea Craiova | 1.92 | 2.86 | 3.13 | 3.30 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Maccabi Haifa | Raków Częstochowa | 100.00 | 1.59 | 3.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | Premier League Women | 19:00 | Tindastóll W | Thróttur Reykjavík W | 1.49 | 1.33 | 1.75 | 1.49 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 4. Deild | 20:15 | Hamar | Kría | 2.13 | 3.03 | 3.13 | 3.18 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Australia | New South Wales | 10:00 | Sydney United | Blacktown City | 2.04 | 2.63 | 2.08 | 2.77 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Qatar | Premier League | 18:30 | Al Shamal SC | Al Ahli | 2.04 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.25 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Toluca W | Guadalajara W | 0.00 | 2.56 | 2.08 | 2.60 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Uzbekistan | Pro League A | 13:15 | Olympic | Lokomotiv | 1.06 | 2.08 | 2.50 | 2.02 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 04:00 | Mazatlán W | Pumas UNAM W | 1.01 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.02 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 15:00 | Astana | Lausanne Sport | 3.70 | 3.57 | 5.26 | 3.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea | 3.85 | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.45 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Independiente del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 0.00 | 7.14 | 10.00 | 7.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Argentina | Copa Argentina | 23:30 | Atlético Tucumán | Newell's Old Boys | 0.00 | 2.86 | 2.78 | 2.70 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Olimpija | 0.00 | 2.56 | 1.96 | 2.40 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | León W | Juárez W | 1.47 | 2.44 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Universidad Chile | Independiente | 2.17 | 3.13 | 1.69 | 2.88 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 1. Deild Women | 19:00 | Keflavík W | ÍBV W | 1.10 | 1.43 | 1.82 | 1.18 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | USA | USL League One | 00:00 | One Knoxville | Richmond Kickers | 3.03 | 3.57 | 3.85 | 3.30 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Austria | Regionalliga: Mitte | 18:00 | Weiz | Deutschlandsberger SC | 2.00 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 3.40 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 19:30 | Fjölnir | Njardvík | 1.09 | 1.89 | 2.63 | 1.54 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Colombia | Torneo Betplay | 01:00 | Orsomarso | Patriotas Boyacá | 2.38 | 3.33 | 3.23 | 2.95 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Banga | Hegelmann Litauen | 2.44 | 2.13 | 1.69 | 1.70 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Jordan | Premier League | 18:45 | Al Salt | Al Hussein | 0.00 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.36 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | LPS HD Clinceni | CS Dinamo București | 0.00 | 3.13 | 3.13 | 2.65 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 20:15 | Thróttur Reykjavík | ÍR | 1.67 | 3.03 | 3.03 | 2.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Bhutan | Bhutan Premier League | 11:00 | Tensung | RTC | 2.38 | 1.79 | 1.82 | 1.11 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Vaduz | AZ | 1.09 | 2.17 | 1.79 | 1.44 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Iceland | 1. Deild Women | 20:15 | Haukar W | Grótta W | 1.75 | 2.44 | 1.47 | 1.69 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 01:30 | Wilstermann | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1.54 | 2.86 | 2.94 | 2.05 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Atlético Nacional | São Paulo | 2.44 | 4.76 | 4.17 | 3.90 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | 2. Deild | 20:15 | KFG | Grótta | 1.92 | 2.50 | 3.33 | 1.58 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Dinamo City | Hajduk Split | 2.50 | 2.78 | 2.50 | 1.85 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | India | Calcutta Premier Division A | 10:30 | Southern Samity | United | 1.28 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Jordan | Premier League | 16:00 | Al Buqa'a | Al Jazeera | 14.29 | 4.00 | 2.86 | 3.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Northern Ireland | Championship Women | 20:15 | Bangor Ladies W | Ballymena Allstars W | 1.11 | 3.85 | 3.33 | 2.82 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 19:00 | Leiknir Reykjavík | Fylkir | 1.85 | 3.23 | 2.33 | 2.13 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Alianza Lima | Universidad Católica | 100.00 | 5.88 | 7.14 | 4.75 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | América de Cali | Fluminense | 5.00 | 5.56 | 7.14 | 4.33 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Dundee United | SK Rapid | 0.00 | 3.03 | 2.70 | 1.70 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Golden Arrows | Richards Bay | 11.11 | 4.35 | 3.23 | 3.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Uzbekistan | Professional Football League | 15:00 | Buxoro | Xorazm | 1.92 | 5.26 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 23:00 | Club Bolívar | Cienciano | 9.09 | 6.67 | 5.26 | 5.25 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Canada | Championship | 00:00 | Forge | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4.17 | 3.57 | 2.78 | 2.13 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Finland | Kolmonen | 17:00 | FC Komeetat | 1.49 | 4.55 | 4.76 | 3.00 | |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Australia | Queensland Premier League | 11:30 | Logan Lightning | Rochedale Rovers | 2.04 | 3.57 | 2.27 | 1.83 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Australia | Ffa Cup | 10:30 | South Melbourne | Auckland | 1.05 | 3.13 | 4.00 | 1.33 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Lithuania | Lithuanian Cup | 17:00 | Jonava | Panevėžys | 1.11 | 3.23 | 2.70 | 1.30 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat | Metalul Buzău | 5.26 | 3.13 | 4.55 | 1.17 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 23:00 | Aurora | Blooming | 3.13 | 5.26 | 5.26 | 3.20 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 00:00 | Deportivo Pereira | América de Cali | 6.25 | 7.14 | 3.13 | 5.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Viitorul Curita | Sporting Lieşti | 0.00 | 4.00 | 3.45 | 1.84 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies Women | 19:30 | Espanyol W | Levante Badalona | 100.00 | 4.76 | 5.00 | 2.58 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Ararat-Armenia | Sparta Praha | 0.00 | 4.00 | 2.63 | 1.80 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Hammarby | Rosenborg | 0.00 | 5.56 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | England | Non League Div One: Isthmian South Central | 19:45 | Littlehampton Town | Bognor Regis Town | 33.33 | 4.17 | 2.08 | 1.70 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Australia | Ffa Cup | 10:30 | Avondale Heights | APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 2.27 | 6.25 | 5.26 | 3.75 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Austria | Landesliga: Kärnten | 18:00 | Austria Klagenfurt II | Köttmannsdorf | 1.02 | 5.88 | 4.55 | 3.30 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 01:00 | Real Cundinamarca | Deportes Tolima | 4.55 | 4.17 | 2.44 | 1.48 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Inkasso-Deildin | 19:00 | Selfoss | HK | 1.79 | 4.55 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Russia | Russian Cup | 14:15 | Orenburg | Akhmat Grozny | 2.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 2.17 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Oltul Curtişoara | CSM Slatina | 100.00 | 4.35 | 3.57 | 1.46 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 15:00 | Morocco | Zambia | 7.14 | 11.11 | 11.11 | 8.20 |
1 | 14/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Virtus | Milsami | 0.00 | 4.55 | 5.00 | 1.48 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Colombia | Torneo Betplay | 22:00 | Cúcuta Deportivo | Deportes Quindío | 7.69 | 9.09 | 7.69 | 5.90 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies Women | 18:30 | Alhama W | Villarreal W | 0.00 | 7.69 | 4.76 | 4.25 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 19:00 | Pyramids FC | Ismaily | 1.72 | 12.50 | 11.11 | 9.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Sănătatea Cluj | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 1.16 | 6.25 | 4.35 | 2.52 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Iceland | Premier League Women | 19:00 | Valur W | Stjarnan W | 4.76 | 7.69 | 8.33 | 3.75 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Sweden | Svenska Cupen | 17:30 | Järfälla | Djurgården | 5.26 | 5.56 | 5.88 | 1.08 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Jordan | Premier League | 16:00 | Sama Al Sarhan | Al Ahli | 1.27 | 7.14 | 5.88 | 2.60 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Huddersfield Town | Leicester City | 3.03 | 6.25 | 3.13 | 1.55 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 18:00 | Mauritania | Burkina Faso | 0.00 | 8.33 | 8.33 | 2.05 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Dominican Republic | Liga Mayor | 00:00 | Cibao | Vega Real | 0.00 | 14.29 | 10.00 | 5.62 |
0 | 14/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 18:00 | Angola | Congo DR | 0.00 | 12.50 | 12.50 | 3.00 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 0.00 | 11.11 | 7.69 | 1.50 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Peñarol | Racing Club | 2.94 | 12.50 | 5.26 | 2.80 |
0 | 13/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 15:00 | Madagascar | Central African Republic | 0.00 | 16.67 | 16.67 | 3.30 |