Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Kazakhstan | Premier League | 15:00 | Ordabasy | Aksu | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 2.20 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Singapore | S. League | 12:45 | Home United | Young Lions | 1.96 | 1.56 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 20:30 | Smouha | Al Ahly | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Mouloudia Oujda | Wydad Casablanca | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 2.25 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 10:00 | Meizhou Hakka | Shijiazhuang Ever Bright | 2.13 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Difaâ El Jadida | Youssoufia Berrechid | 2.04 | 1.64 | 2.44 | 2.00 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Charleston Battery | Atlanta United II | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.56 | 1.80 |
1 | 28/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 12:30 | Guangzhou R&F | Dalian Yifang | 1.67 | 1.52 | 1.33 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Canada | Premier League | 00:00 | Forge | Valour | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 01:15 | Defensores de Belgrano | Chacarita Juniors | 1.69 | 2.17 | 2.33 | 2.38 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Libertad | 8.33 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Al Mokawloon | National Bank of Egypt | 2.17 | 1.92 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Vila Nova | Ponte Preta | 7.69 | 2.33 | 2.70 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Ghazl El Mehalla | Ismaily | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Eidsvold | Molde | 1.20 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Brusque | Bahia | 8.33 | 2.38 | 2.13 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Jönköpings Södra | Örgryte | 1.15 | 1.54 | 1.85 | 1.62 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Moss | Start | 0.00 | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | I-Kissat | GrIFK | 1.10 | 1.28 | 1.39 | 1.30 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Emelec | Atlético Mineiro | 1.52 | 2.04 | 2.13 | 2.05 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Pyramids FC | ENPPI | 2.56 | 2.00 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Hartford Athletic | Colorado Springs | 1.79 | 1.52 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.64 | 2.08 | 2.17 | 2.05 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Ulsan | Bucheon 1995 | 3.57 | 2.13 | 2.63 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Gjøvik-Lyn | Stabæk | 2.63 | 1.59 | 1.82 | 1.53 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Europe | Euro U19 | 16:00 | England U19 | Italy U19 | 9.09 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Sotra | Haugesund | 0.00 | 1.82 | 2.38 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 20:30 | Zamalek | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2.33 | 1.92 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 20:30 | RSB Berkane | Chabab Mohammédia | 2.86 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Argentina | Copa Argentina | 22:05 | Gimnasia La Plata | Flandria | 0.00 | 2.13 | 2.86 | 2.00 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 02:50 | San Antonio | Tulsa Roughnecks | 3.45 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | USA | Major League Soccer | 00:30 | Toronto | Columbus Crew | 1.82 | 1.89 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | League One | 09:00 | Nantong Zhiyun | Qingdao Youth Island | 3.33 | 2.33 | 2.86 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | VJS | HJS Akatemia | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.44 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Grêmio | Londrina | 5.56 | 2.78 | 1.92 | 2.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Guarani | Ituano | 5.56 | 2.33 | 2.22 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 16:30 | Lahti | JäPS | 1.27 | 2.17 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Náutico | Criciúma | 1.89 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | KaaPo | Tampere United | 3.45 | 1.92 | 1.72 | 1.53 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | EPS | SalPa | 5.88 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | US Open Cup | 00:00 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 3.03 | 2.27 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | Honka Akatemia | MuSa | 1.11 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 1.44 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Svenska Cupen | 18:30 | Lindome | GAIS | 1.69 | 2.00 | 2.70 | 1.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Australia | Northern Nsw | 10:00 | Maitland | Lambton Jaffas | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Raja Casablanca | FAR Rabat | 2.70 | 2.27 | 2.44 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Jeonbuk Motors | Suwon Bluewings | 0.00 | 2.63 | 3.13 | 2.00 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | USA | Major League Soccer | 00:30 | Cincinnati | New York City | 2.44 | 2.17 | 2.22 | 1.53 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Kjelsås | Skeid | 0.00 | 2.33 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 20:30 | Khouribga | Olympic Safi | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Cruzeiro | Sport Recife | 0.00 | 3.45 | 2.56 | 2.75 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 12:30 | Changchun Yatai | Hangzhou | 1.92 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.95 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Talleres Córdoba | Colón | 3.45 | 2.86 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Iceland | Iceland Cup | 20:45 | Selfoss | Víkingur Reykjavík | 14.29 | 2.50 | 2.08 | 1.57 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 19:15 | Vålerenga | Bodø / Glimt | 33.33 | 2.44 | 2.04 | 1.50 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Halmstad | Trelleborg | 1.79 | 2.94 | 2.44 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Norrby | Östersunds FK | 6.67 | 3.33 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 08:30 | Shanghai SIPG | Shanghai Shenhua | 11.11 | 3.45 | 2.44 | 2.05 |
1 | 28/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 11:30 | Shandong Luneng | Henan Jianye | 0.00 | 3.45 | 2.63 | 1.91 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | FUS Rabat | Rapide Oued Zem | 2.86 | 3.45 | 3.03 | 1.91 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Corinthians | Boca Juniors | 12.50 | 4.17 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Colo-Colo | Internacional | 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.38 | 2.00 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Cerro Porteño | Palmeiras | 3.45 | 4.17 | 2.86 | 2.25 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 10:30 | Shenzhen | Tianjin Teda | 5.00 | 4.00 | 2.33 | 1.95 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Riadi Salmi | Hassania Agadir | 3.33 | 4.55 | 4.00 | 2.20 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Ittihad Tanger | Maghreb Fès | 4.17 | 5.26 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 16:00 | Inter Turku | HJK | 0.00 | 5.00 | 3.57 | 1.83 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | League One | 09:00 | Zibo Sunday | Guangxi Baoyun | 2.56 | 5.26 | 4.76 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 17:00 | PK-35 | HIFK | 0.00 | 5.88 | 3.57 | 1.83 |