Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | ENPPI | El Daklyeh | 7.14 | 2.38 | 2.86 | 3.00 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:45 | Fiorentina | Viktoria Plzeň | 3.33 | 1.79 | 1.96 | 2.20 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | England | Women's Super League | 19:00 | Chelsea W | Aston Villa W | 1.85 | 1.56 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Ukraine | Premier League | 16:00 | Oleksandria | Obolon'-Brovar | 2.94 | 2.04 | 1.92 | 2.38 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Bahrain | Premier League | 17:00 | Busaiteen | Al Ahli | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nord | 18:15 | Eimsbutteler TV | Kilia Kiel | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 20:00 | Roma | Milan | 8.33 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Japan | Ybc Levain Cup | 11:00 | Azul Claro Numazu | Consadole Sapporo | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.64 | 1.67 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Norway | Eliteserien | 17:00 | Molde | Odd | 0.00 | 1.69 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Asia | AFC Champions League | 17:00 | Al Ain | Al Hilal | 3.85 | 1.41 | 1.59 | 1.62 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Bahrain | Premier League | 17:00 | Al-Najma | Sitra | 1.15 | 1.35 | 1.54 | 1.53 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | USA | US Open Cup | 03:30 | Monterey Bay | 50.00 | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.57 | |
0 | 18/04/2024 | USA | US Open Cup | 01:00 | Union Omaha | El Paso Locomotive | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | National Bank of Egypt | El Geish | 2.13 | 1.96 | 2.44 | 2.10 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 01:00 | The Strongest | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 2.04 | 1.72 | 1.61 | 1.83 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 20:00 | Atalanta | Liverpool | 2.00 | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.50 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 19:00 | Al Fateh | Al Raed | 1.79 | 1.59 | 1.47 | 1.67 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Qatar | Premier League | 18:30 | Qatar SC | Al Rayyan | 1.22 | 1.47 | 2.00 | 1.53 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | SuperSport United | Polokwane City | 2.44 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 2.10 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Qatar | Premier League | 18:30 | Al Ahli | Al Sadd | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.54 | 1.62 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 00:00 | Nacional Asunción | Libertad | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 15:00 | El Gounah | Smouha | 2.63 | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Latvia | Virsliga | 15:30 | Grobiņa | Liepāja | 4.76 | 1.92 | 1.32 | 1.91 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Norway | Eliteserien | 17:00 | Brann | HamKam | 0.00 | 1.82 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | FC Bayern München | Arsenal | 2.27 | 1.64 | 1.49 | 1.62 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | England | National League | 19:45 | Gateshead | Aldershot Town | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.54 | 1.44 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Japan | Ybc Levain Cup | 11:00 | Omiya Ardija | Nagoya Grampus | 5.00 | 2.13 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Ismaily | ZED FC | 2.50 | 2.13 | 2.86 | 2.10 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 16:00 | Sigma Olomouc II | Hanácká | 2.38 | 1.89 | 1.47 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Vlašim | Lisen | 3.57 | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Latvia | Virsliga | 17:30 | FS Jelgava | Valmiera | 4.17 | 2.70 | 1.82 | 2.63 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Asia | AFC Champions League | 11:00 | Ulsan | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.96 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.53 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Cyprus | Cyprus Cup | 17:00 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris Limassol | 2.13 | 1.75 | 2.38 | 1.67 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | PAOK | Club Brugge | 1.56 | 1.75 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Fenerbahçe | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.00 | 1.61 | 1.79 | 1.53 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Scotland | Premiership | 20:00 | Dundee | Rangers | 3.57 | 1.89 | 1.69 | 1.80 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 15:00 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Al Ittihad | 1.75 | 1.89 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Truro City | Weymouth | 1.92 | 2.04 | 1.89 | 1.91 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 19:00 | Al Shabab | Abha | 1.54 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:20 | Atlético Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | 2.44 | 2.17 | 2.04 | 2.00 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 16:00 | Sparta Praha II | Příbram | 1.67 | 1.75 | 1.49 | 1.57 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Chile | Primera Division | 20:30 | Palestino | Huachipato | 4.17 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Qatar | Premier League | 16:30 | Al Mu'aidar | Al Duhail | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 00:10 | Millonarios | Junior FC | 1.52 | 2.13 | 2.56 | 1.91 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Croatia | 1. HNL | 16:00 | Dinamo Zagreb | Varaždin | 2.44 | 2.44 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 00:10 | Patriotas Boyacá | Independiente Medellín | 6.67 | 2.08 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Slovenia | 1. SNL | 17:30 | Olimpija | Maribor | 1.96 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 1.53 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | England | National League | 19:45 | Halifax Town | Oldham Athletic | 2.13 | 2.22 | 2.38 | 1.95 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 03:00 | Deportivo Saprissa | Municipal Liberia | 1.89 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 1.80 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Latvia | Virsliga | 17:30 | Rīgas FS | Metta / LU | 4.17 | 2.94 | 2.33 | 2.63 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 16:00 | Táborsko | Viktoria Žižkov | 2.56 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.73 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Bosnia Cup | 17:00 | Zrinjski | Sloga Doboj | 9.09 | 2.94 | 2.86 | 2.63 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 22:00 | Guanacasteca | San Carlos | 1.96 | 2.04 | 2.17 | 1.73 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Zbrojovka Brno | Vysočina Jihlava | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 1.67 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 03:00 | Alajuelense | Grecia | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.04 | 2.10 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 20:00 | Olympique Marseille | Benfica | 0.00 | 2.00 | 2.04 | 1.62 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Ukraine | Premier League | 13:30 | Minai | Dynamo Kyiv | 2.22 | 2.78 | 2.33 | 2.38 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:20 | Once Caldas | Santa Fe | 3.03 | 2.50 | 2.04 | 2.10 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Bahrain | Premier League | 17:00 | Manama Club | Al Khalidiyah | 2.94 | 2.13 | 2.44 | 1.73 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 16:00 | Chrudim | Varnsdorf | 1.72 | 2.08 | 2.22 | 1.67 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 16:00 | Al Taawon | Al Khaleej | 2.17 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | Manchester City | Real Madrid | 1.35 | 1.96 | 1.69 | 1.53 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:45 | LOSC Lille | Aston Villa | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Sekhukhune United | Stellenbosch | 2.27 | 2.70 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Denmark | First Division | 17:00 | SønderjyskE | Vendsyssel | 2.22 | 2.13 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
1 | 18/04/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 20:00 | West Ham United | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5.00 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.62 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 22:30 | Cumbaya | Libertad | 2.27 | 2.38 | 2.56 | 1.91 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 20:00 | Imbabura | Universidad Católica | 0.00 | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.73 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Slovenia | 1. SNL | 15:00 | Domžale | Koper | 2.17 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 1.62 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 11:30 | Gold Coast United | Rochedale Rovers | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.67 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Slovakia | Slovakia Cup | 17:00 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | 1.85 | 2.38 | 2.86 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 22:00 | Puntarenas | Pérez Zeledón | 2.44 | 2.38 | 2.17 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | United Arab Emirates | Uae League | 15:00 | Bani Yas | Al Sharjah | 1.92 | 2.13 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 15:30 | Prostějov | Vyškov | 1.82 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 1.62 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 01:00 | Técnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | 1.96 | 2.44 | 2.63 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 16:00 | Dukla Praha | Opava | 2.56 | 2.63 | 2.22 | 1.91 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Japan | Ybc Levain Cup | 11:00 | YSCC | Tokyo | 0.00 | 2.56 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Finland | Finland Cup | 17:00 | JS Hercules | OLS | 2.08 | 2.94 | 2.70 | 2.20 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Romania | Romania Cup | 17:00 | Corvinul Hunedoara | Voluntari | 6.25 | 2.86 | 4.17 | 2.10 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Jeju United | Cheonan City | 2.94 | 2.70 | 2.63 | 1.83 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Taunton Town | Weston-super-Mare | 2.78 | 2.70 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 01:00 | Sporting San José | Santos de Guápiles | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 22:30 | Independiente del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2.63 | 2.70 | 2.78 | 1.73 |
1 | 17/04/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 01:30 | Bahia | Fluminense | 4.17 | 2.78 | 1.92 | 1.70 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Latvia | Virsliga | 15:30 | Auda | FC Daugavpils | 3.57 | 3.33 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 22:00 | Rionegro Águilas | Alianza Petrolera | 3.23 | 3.33 | 2.63 | 2.10 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Qatar | Premier League | 16:30 | Umm Salal | Al Arabi | 2.00 | 2.78 | 2.86 | 1.53 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:00 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | 3.45 | 2.94 | 2.04 | 1.67 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | United Arab Emirates | Uae League | 17:30 | Al Nasr | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3.70 | 2.86 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Cyprus | Cyprus Cup | 18:00 | Apollon | Paphos | 100.00 | 3.45 | 2.94 | 1.91 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Future FC | Pharco | 2.78 | 3.85 | 4.76 | 2.20 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Portugal | Taça De Portugal | 20:15 | Porto | Vitória SC | 33.33 | 3.70 | 3.03 | 1.83 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Romania | Romania Cup | 18:30 | Otelul | Universitatea Cluj | 2.50 | 4.17 | 3.85 | 2.20 |
0 | 18/04/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 22:00 | La Equidad | Fortaleza CEIF | 3.85 | 4.55 | 3.57 | 2.10 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Anyang | Gimpo | 0.00 | 4.55 | 3.23 | 2.00 |
0 | 17/04/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 20:40 | Almirante Brown | Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 4.17 | 7.69 | 4.76 | 2.25 |