Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Juventud Unida G. | Estrella del Sur | 1.85 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Yupanqui | Sportivo Barracas | 1.72 | 1.75 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Latvia | Virsliga | 16:00 | Liepāja | Metta / LU | 1.96 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 2.20 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 20:00 | Shamrock Rovers | Cork City | 2.08 | 1.79 | 1.61 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Luján | Cañuelas | 3.45 | 2.27 | 3.13 | 2.63 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Dandenong City | Altona Magic | 1.69 | 1.23 | 1.37 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:00 | Shaanxi Union | Guangzhou E-Power | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 17:30 | Unión Española | Coquimbo Unido | 2.70 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 19:30 | Tromsdalen | Strindheim | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.79 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Sport Huancayo | Melgar | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.79 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Incheon United | Hwaseong | 4.35 | 2.00 | 2.27 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Centro Español | General Lamadrid | 1.82 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | Quilmes | Deportivo Maipú | 2.78 | 2.27 | 1.96 | 2.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Dock Sud | Deportivo Armenio | 2.56 | 2.04 | 2.27 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:00 | Eastern Suburbs Brisbane | Peninsula Power | 1.52 | 1.28 | 1.41 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Ansan Greeners | Bucheon 1995 | 2.04 | 1.75 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 20:00 | HFX Wanderers | Vancouver FC | 2.27 | 1.85 | 2.04 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 08:15 | Gold Coast Knights | Brisbane City | 1.89 | 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.53 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Rhode Island | Sacramento Republic | 5.88 | 1.96 | 2.33 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Drogheda United | Sligo Rovers | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 08:00 | Machida Zelvia | Kashima Antlers | 2.56 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.95 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Indy Eleven | Las Vegas Lights | 14.29 | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:00 | Moreton City Excelsior | Brisbane Roar II | 1.79 | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 13:00 | Grorud | Ullensaker / Kisa | 1.69 | 1.35 | 1.61 | 1.44 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | North Carolina | Louisville City | 2.00 | 1.59 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Los Chankas | Sporting Cristal | 1.79 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Libertad | Técnico Universitario | 1.69 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Gangwon | Daegu | 2.22 | 1.67 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Eliteserien | 17:00 | Bodø / Glimt | Brann | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.39 | 1.50 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1.89 | 1.92 | 2.13 | 1.95 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Start | Stabæk | 1.69 | 1.37 | 1.54 | 1.40 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:35 | América Mineiro | Criciúma | 1.96 | 2.08 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Kashiwa Reysol | Kyoto Sanga | 1.89 | 1.89 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Latvia | Virsliga | 14:00 | FC Daugavpils | Tukums | 3.85 | 1.72 | 1.61 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Charleston Battery | Phoenix Rising | 1.37 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 17:00 | Eidsvold | Levanger | 1.19 | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.44 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Lexington | Colorado Springs | 1.92 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J2-League | 11:00 | Fujieda MYFC | Consadole Sapporo | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:30 | Nantong Zhiyun | Shenyang Urban | 1.45 | 1.85 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 00:30 | Ferroviária | CRB | 2.27 | 2.13 | 2.33 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 11:30 | St. Albans Saints | Oakleigh Cannons | 1.96 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J2-League | 11:00 | JEF United | Júbilo Iwata | 1.56 | 1.67 | 1.61 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 13:00 | Egersund | Kongsvinger | 1.15 | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 13:00 | Åsane | Moss | 2.63 | 1.64 | 1.54 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Argentino Rosario | Victoriano Arenas | 3.13 | 2.70 | 2.38 | 2.63 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Botafogo SP | Chapecoense | 3.03 | 2.33 | 2.78 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 13:00 | Kjelsås | Strømmen | 2.13 | 1.79 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Claypole | Berazategui | 2.08 | 2.50 | 1.85 | 2.38 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:30 | Melbourne Knights | Green Gully | 1.92 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Cheonan City | Seoul E. | 2.38 | 1.96 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 22:30 | Universitario de Vinto | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1.23 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Seongnam | Chungnam Asan | 4.00 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Ranheim | Lillestrøm | 2.50 | 1.69 | 1.56 | 1.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | JJ Urquiza | Puerto Nuevo | 1.67 | 2.44 | 2.70 | 2.25 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Galway United | St Patrick's | 2.50 | 2.22 | 1.96 | 1.95 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 22:30 | Unión La Calera | Universidad Católica | 3.85 | 2.38 | 1.96 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | El Nacional | Universidad Católica | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.72 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Laferrere | 2.44 | 2.56 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Pohang Steelers | Jeju United | 3.03 | 2.33 | 2.22 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 20:00 | Avaí | Athletico PR | 2.63 | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Athlone Town | Finn Harps | 2.13 | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.50 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Waterford United | Bohemians | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 1 | 14:00 | Pors Grenland | Flekkerøy | 1.33 | 1.82 | 1.96 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Deportivo Merlo | San Martín Burzaco | 2.22 | 2.63 | 1.96 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Aalesund | Odd | 1.89 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: North | 15:00 | United Nordic | Enkoping | 2.38 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 1.53 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 20:00 | Universidad Chile | Deportes Iquique | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.89 | 1.91 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 20:00 | Racing Córdoba | Deportivo Madryn | 2.50 | 2.94 | 2.86 | 2.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 11:30 | Hønefoss | Rana | 2.38 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Wexford Youths | Longford Town | 1.92 | 2.08 | 1.72 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 20:30 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores Unidos | 5.88 | 4.55 | 3.57 | 4.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 03:00 | Universitario | ADT | 1.72 | 2.56 | 3.03 | 2.00 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 11:30 | Hume City | Heidelberg United | 1.89 | 2.22 | 1.75 | 1.62 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Shelbourne | Derry City | 2.27 | 2.86 | 2.86 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | Almagro | Tristán Suárez | 8.33 | 2.86 | 2.63 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 1 | 13:00 | Vard | Arendal | 1.96 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 1.53 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Villa San Carlos | Comunicaciones | 2.04 | 3.03 | 2.17 | 2.38 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 22:30 | Huachipato | Palestino | 2.94 | 2.38 | 2.13 | 1.73 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Dundalk | Treaty United | 2.27 | 2.33 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Brown de Adrogué | Argentino Merlo | 2.94 | 3.03 | 2.70 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Macará | Vinotinto FC | 3.33 | 2.78 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Real Pilar | Liniers | 1.79 | 3.85 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | San Miguel | Gimnasia y Tiro | 7.14 | 3.85 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:30 | Shijiazhuang Kungfu | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2.17 | 2.78 | 2.56 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 23:00 | Cavalry | Pacific | 2.78 | 2.70 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Jeonbuk Motors | Seoul | 3.45 | 2.94 | 1.89 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Acassuso | Argentino Quilmes | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.23 | 2.63 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:00 | Always Ready | ABB | 2.56 | 2.50 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Hartford Athletic | Loudoun United | 3.23 | 2.70 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 22:30 | Remo | Paysandu | 6.67 | 2.86 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | UCD | Cobh Ramblers | 3.70 | 2.86 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Excursionistas | Villa Dálmine | 3.45 | 3.45 | 3.23 | 2.38 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Kerry | Bray Wanderers | 3.85 | 2.94 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Raufoss | Hødd | 3.03 | 2.78 | 2.56 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5.00 | 3.57 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 00:00 | Alianza Universidad | UTC Cajamarca | 2.17 | 3.23 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 21:00 | Detroit City | Miami FC II | 2.33 | 3.23 | 2.63 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | El Porvenir | Central Córdoba | 1.79 | 3.70 | 3.23 | 2.25 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 08:00 | Avispa Fukuoka | Albirex Niigata | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.03 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Emelec | Delfin | 3.33 | 3.57 | 2.78 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Defensores de Cambaceres | Mercedes | 2.33 | 4.76 | 3.03 | 2.63 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:00 | Dalian Huayi | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 4.00 | 4.35 | 2.94 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Sportivo Italiano | Fénix | 4.76 | 5.88 | 2.86 | 3.40 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Midland | Flandria | 20.00 | 5.56 | 3.03 | 2.75 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Deportivo Español | Ituzaingó | 33.33 | 5.88 | 2.94 | 2.50 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Syria | Premier League | 15:00 | Taliya | Karama | 0.00 | 8.33 | 5.26 | 2.50 |