Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Goiás | CRB | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 2.50 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | China PR | Super League | 12:35 | Shanghai Port | Nantong Zhiyun | 1.33 | 1.49 | 1.82 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Ceará | Botafogo SP | 1.49 | 2.04 | 1.89 | 2.50 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Baník Ostrava | Urartu | 1.72 | 1.82 | 1.69 | 2.25 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Brøndby | KF Llapi | 2.04 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 2.63 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 01:30 | Atlético GO | Bahia | 1.75 | 1.41 | 1.61 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 00:00 | Corinthians | Grêmio | 4.00 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Cerro Porteño | 1.54 | 2.22 | 1.96 | 2.50 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:00 | Almagro | Defensores de Belgrano | 3.13 | 2.38 | 2.70 | 2.63 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Bohemians | Dundalk | 2.17 | 1.56 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 01:30 | Fluminense | Palmeiras | 2.33 | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.95 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:30 | Omonia Nicosia | Torpedo Kutaisi | 0.00 | 1.89 | 1.96 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Cobh Ramblers | Athlone Town | 1.61 | 1.64 | 1.47 | 1.83 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Bragantino | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2.56 | 2.04 | 2.08 | 2.20 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | CFR Cluj | Neman Grodno | 2.33 | 2.04 | 2.13 | 2.20 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Panathinaikos | Botev Plovdiv | 1.72 | 1.75 | 2.94 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Vlašim | Chrudim | 1.54 | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Hartford Athletic | Phoenix Rising | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:00 | Luckenwalde | ZFC Meuselwitz | 1.75 | 1.45 | 1.64 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Canada | Premier League | 00:00 | York9 | Atlético Ottawa | 2.44 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.91 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Stjarnan | Paide | 0.00 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Unión Comercio | Atlético Grau | 2.22 | 1.72 | 1.59 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Dandenong City | Manningham United Blues | 1.43 | 1.32 | 1.37 | 1.40 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | St. Gallen | Tobol | 3.57 | 1.85 | 1.59 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Opava | Zbrojovka Brno | 2.27 | 1.61 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Floriana | Vitória SC | 1.59 | 2.17 | 2.44 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Bray Wanderers | Wexford Youths | 1.37 | 1.64 | 1.79 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | 2. Liga East | 16:30 | Kalisz | SKRA Częstochowa | 1.30 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 2.10 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Romania | Liga 1 | 20:00 | FCSB | Otelul | 1.45 | 2.08 | 1.82 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Chile | Primera Division | 00:00 | Everton | Deportes Iquique | 1.32 | 1.52 | 2.13 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 01:00 | César Vallejo | UTC Cajamarca | 2.94 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | China PR | Super League | 13:00 | Sichuan | Beijing Guoan | 2.17 | 2.00 | 2.04 | 1.95 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 00:00 | Deportivo Garcilaso | Sport Boys | 2.04 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Žalgiris | Paphos | 0.00 | 1.89 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 00:45 | Temperley | San Telmo | 3.23 | 2.56 | 2.04 | 2.50 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:00 | Millonarios | Atlético Nacional | 2.08 | 2.27 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Valur | St. Mirren | 1.25 | 1.64 | 1.75 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Denmark | First Division | 18:00 | Horsens | Hillerød | 1.22 | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.62 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 18:00 | Molde | Silkeborg | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.61 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:30 | South Melbourne | Port Melbourne | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Treaty United | Finn Harps | 3.13 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 18:30 | Stade Nyonnais | Bellinzona | 2.63 | 1.85 | 1.61 | 1.73 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Bayern | 17:30 | Nürnberg II | Bayreuth | 2.17 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Vysočina Jihlava | Vyškov | 50.00 | 1.96 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:00 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Real Tomayapo | 1.82 | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | F91 Dudelange | Häcken | 25.00 | 1.92 | 1.49 | 1.73 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | Ekstraklasa | 17:00 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Górnik Zabrze | 100.00 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Drogheda United | Waterford United | 1.75 | 1.92 | 2.08 | 1.70 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 23:30 | Sportivo Trinidense | Guaraní | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.73 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:30 | SC Wanderers | WDSC Wolves | 1.39 | 1.59 | 1.64 | 1.30 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 22:00 | América de Cali | Envigado | 2.86 | 2.56 | 3.13 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | 1. Liga | 17:00 | Miedź Legnica | Stal Stalowa Wola | 2.08 | 2.38 | 1.96 | 2.00 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Ilves | Austria Wien | 1.43 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:30 | Jeju United | Ulsan | 1.72 | 1.96 | 2.08 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 19:15 | Étoile Carouge | Neuchâtel Xamax | 2.08 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:30 | Gangwon | Jeonbuk Motors | 1.72 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Saburtalo | Partizani Tirana | 1.43 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 03:30 | Arsenal | AFC Bournemouth | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 19:00 | Al Masry | Al Ahly | 2.17 | 2.56 | 2.44 | 2.10 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Euro U19 | 14:00 | Italy U19 | Spain U19 | 2.22 | 2.17 | 2.22 | 1.67 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Alianza Atlético | Melgar | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 18:00 | Sheriff | Elfsborg | 14.29 | 2.27 | 3.45 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Always Ready | LDU Quito | 100.00 | 2.27 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 00:30 | Liverpool | Real Betis | 2.08 | 2.04 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 16:00 | KuPS | Tromsø | 3.13 | 2.38 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Heidelberg United | Hume City | 2.50 | 2.17 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Bayern | 18:00 | Würzburger Kickers | Schwaben Augsburg | 2.63 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Banga | Kauno Žalgiris | 2.94 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nord | 18:00 | VfB Lübeck | Todesfelde | 2.86 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | TPV | Honka | 1.67 | 2.22 | 2.00 | 1.53 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | World | Olympic Games Women | 20:00 | United States W | Zambia W | 5.56 | 3.45 | 2.63 | 2.75 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:00 | Brusque | Paysandu | 4.76 | 2.86 | 2.04 | 2.10 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Denmark | Superliga | 18:00 | SønderjyskE | Lyngby | 2.78 | 2.63 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Comerciantes Unidos | Carlos Mannucci | 2.70 | 2.70 | 1.61 | 1.83 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Amazonas | Guarani | 2.33 | 3.13 | 2.56 | 2.25 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:15 | Maccabi Haifa | Sabah | 2.94 | 3.03 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 03:30 | Deportivo Saprissa | Guanacasteca | 1.56 | 2.86 | 3.23 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 19:15 | Wil | Aarau | 2.86 | 2.50 | 1.49 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 19:00 | Zamalek | Pyramids FC | 2.56 | 2.86 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Paksi SE | AEK Larnaca | 2.50 | 3.03 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Cusco FC | Sport Huancayo | 2.50 | 3.33 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Romania | Liga 1 | 17:00 | Hermannstadt | Unirea Slobozia | 0.00 | 4.17 | 2.56 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Cork City | Kerry | 16.67 | 5.56 | 3.57 | 2.75 |