Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Radcliffe Borough | Chester | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.47 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Gaucho 1 | 22:00 | Juventude | Guarany de Bagé | 0.00 | 1.96 | 2.04 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Mansfield Town | Crawley Town | 2.00 | 1.37 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Stockport County | Shrewsbury Town | 1.92 | 2.00 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Dorking Wanderers | Aveley | 1.72 | 1.47 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Bradford City | Morecambe | 2.70 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Burton Albion | Reading | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 23:00 | San Marcos | Coquimbo Unido | 2.63 | 1.72 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Peterborough United | Wigan Athletic | 1.79 | 1.49 | 1.59 | 1.75 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Algeria | Ligue 1 | 18:00 | USM Alger | Paradou AC | 4.17 | 1.85 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Paranaense 1 | 23:00 | Athletico PR | Cianorte | 1.30 | 1.85 | 1.92 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chesham United | Salisbury | 1.64 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 15:10 | Al Shabab | Al Feiha | 2.33 | 1.61 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Barnet | Hartlepool United | 1.69 | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 23:30 | Deportivo Recoleta | 2 de Mayo | 2.78 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 18:00 | CFR Cluj | Farul Constanța | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham Town | 1.54 | 1.75 | 2.08 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Peterborough Sports | Hereford | 2.38 | 1.75 | 2.13 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | RSC Anderlecht II | KRC Genk II | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1.49 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Brazil | Carioca 1 | 00:00 | Vasco da Gama | Portuguesa RJ | 0.00 | 2.50 | 2.86 | 2.63 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | Indian Super League | 14:00 | Minerva Punjab | Jamshedpur | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.56 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Lincoln City | Blackpool | 1.56 | 1.82 | 2.56 | 1.95 |
1 | 28/01/2025 | England | Championship | 19:45 | Portsmouth | Millwall | 3.23 | 2.08 | 2.33 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | India | Indian Super League | 14:00 | ATK Mohun Bagan | Bengaluru | 1.75 | 1.69 | 1.96 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Darlington | Buxton | 2.17 | 1.72 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 17:00 | Greifswalder FC | Viktoria Berlin | 1.96 | 1.52 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Bolton Wanderers | Northampton Town | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.95 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone C | 19:30 | Crotone | Picerno | 2.22 | 1.82 | 2.13 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:00 | Plauen | Hallescher FC | 2.17 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Swindon Town | Tranmere Rovers | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Spain | La Liga | 20:00 | Deportivo Alavés | Celta de Vigo | 1.79 | 1.89 | 2.33 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | I-League | 10:00 | Rajasthan FC | Inter Kashi | 3.85 | 1.47 | 1.75 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 14:00 | Zamalek | El Gounah | 0.00 | 2.33 | 1.92 | 2.38 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Necaxa W | Pumas UNAM W | 2.22 | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 23:00 | Copiapó | Cobreloa | 1.82 | 1.59 | 2.04 | 1.62 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Scunthorpe United | Needham Market | 2.17 | 2.22 | 1.96 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 00:00 | Alajuelense | Pérez Zeledón | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | RFC Seraing | Lierse Kempenzonen | 2.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Southport | Spennymoor Town | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.72 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone B | 19:30 | Arezzo | Pontedera | 2.38 | 2.27 | 2.13 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Smouha | ZED FC | 7.69 | 2.27 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Netherlands | Eerste Divisie | 19:00 | Jong PSV | VVV-Venlo | 1.16 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.40 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Acre | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon | 1.72 | 1.61 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Netherlands | Eerste Divisie | 19:00 | FC Den Bosch | Jong Utrecht | 1.89 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Portugal | Segunda Liga | 18:00 | Torreense | Benfica II | 2.50 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Chesterfield | Bromley | 2.13 | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Brackley Town | Kidderminster Harriers | 2.00 | 2.17 | 2.56 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 03:00 | Santos Laguna W | Juárez W | 2.78 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Enfield Town | Eastbourne Borough | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | St Albans City | Tonbridge Angels | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Worthing | Boreham Wood | 2.70 | 1.67 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 14:05 | Damac | Al Ittihad | 2.27 | 1.85 | 1.92 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Notts County | Carlisle United | 3.03 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie A | 19:45 | Genoa | Monza | 2.38 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Farnborough | AFC Hornchurch | 1.89 | 1.96 | 1.59 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Paulista A1 | 22:30 | Palmeiras | Bragantino | 1.52 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Wycombe Wanderers | Barnsley | 2.38 | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.70 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | France | Ligue 2 | 19:45 | Annecy | Dunkerque | 1.82 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chelmsford City | Maidstone United | 2.17 | 2.08 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | 3.03 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Crewe Alexandra | AFC Wimbledon | 2.86 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Southend United | Fylde | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie A | 17:30 | Venezia | Hellas Verona | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.89 | 1.70 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Exeter City | Leyton Orient | 1.96 | 2.17 | 2.78 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 20:00 | Huddersfield Town | Birmingham City | 2.38 | 2.17 | 1.92 | 1.95 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Turkey | 1. Lig | 17:00 | Sakaryaspor | Manisa BBSK | 2.08 | 2.04 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Milton Keynes Dons | Harrogate Town | 2.86 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Ligat ha'Al | 18:30 | Maccabi Haifa | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1.33 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Grimsby Town | Gillingham | 2.56 | 2.17 | 2.27 | 1.91 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | England | Championship | 20:00 | Burnley | Leeds United | 5.56 | 2.27 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Slough Town | Weston-super-Mare | 2.17 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 17:00 | Al Quadisiya | Al Hilal | 2.27 | 1.85 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | I-League | 07:30 | Namdhari | Sreenidi Deccan | 1.47 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Salford City | Newport County | 2.38 | 2.13 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chippenham Town | Torquay United | 2.22 | 2.13 | 1.64 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Rushall Olympic | King's Lynn Town | 1.92 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Farsley Celtic | Marine | 4.17 | 2.27 | 2.38 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 01:06 | Tigres UANL W | Toluca W | 1.72 | 2.22 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Portugal | Primeira Liga | 20:15 | AVS | Gil Vicente | 2.50 | 2.44 | 2.50 | 2.05 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Haras El Hodood | Future FC | 3.57 | 3.03 | 2.78 | 2.63 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone C | 19:30 | Team Altamura | Taranto | 2.70 | 2.33 | 2.78 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Al Masry | ENPPI | 8.33 | 2.94 | 2.78 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | Championship | 19:45 | Hamilton Academical | Raith Rovers | 3.03 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Rochdale | Boston United | 3.33 | 2.38 | 1.89 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Northern Ireland | Premiership | 19:45 | Linfield | Crusaders | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | Lokeren-Temse | AS Eupen | 2.08 | 2.17 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 21:00 | Palestino | Audax Italiano | 2.38 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | Challenge Cup | 19:45 | Queen's Park | East Kilbride | 2.04 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.50 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 03:10 | Pachuca W | Atlético San Luis W | 3.70 | 2.44 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Spain | La Liga 2 | 19:30 | Cádiz | Mirandés | 2.78 | 2.86 | 2.50 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Scarborough Athletic | Chorley | 2.22 | 2.44 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 15:00 | Petrolul 52 | Botoşani | 6.67 | 2.86 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Cyprus | Cyprus Cup | 17:00 | Omonia Nicosia | AEL | 0.00 | 2.63 | 2.94 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Brazil | Carioca 1 | 21:00 | Nova Iguaçu | Boavista | 4.17 | 2.86 | 2.56 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Colchester United | Port Vale | 3.23 | 2.86 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Turkey | Super Lig | 17:00 | Kasımpaşa | Hatayspor | 1.92 | 2.50 | 1.69 | 1.62 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Rotherham United | Cambridge United | 2.22 | 2.94 | 2.38 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 00:00 | San Carlos | Guanacasteca | 2.70 | 2.78 | 2.38 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Alfreton Town | Leamington | 2.63 | 2.86 | 2.44 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Oxford City | Curzon Ashton | 2.00 | 2.78 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | League Two | 19:45 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Stranraer | 3.57 | 3.03 | 1.96 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 14:00 | National Bank of Egypt | Petrojet | 9.09 | 3.45 | 2.44 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Hapoel Afula | 2.08 | 3.03 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Charlton Athletic | Bristol Rovers | 3.45 | 3.23 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Welling United | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3.03 | 3.57 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Wrexham | Stevenage | 9.09 | 4.35 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Hampton & Richmond | Weymouth | 3.33 | 5.56 | 2.78 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | South America | South American Championship U20 | 21:00 | Chile U20 | Peru U20 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 1.91 |