Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Athletic Club | Atlético GO | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.64 | 2.25 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 23:30 | Confiança | Anápolis | 1.32 | 1.82 | 2.13 | 2.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Berazategui | Central Córdoba | 2.78 | 1.96 | 2.44 | 2.38 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 18:00 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 18:00 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Ironi Modi'in | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | UTC Cajamarca | Cusco FC | 2.27 | 1.59 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Atlético San Luis W | Juárez W | 0.00 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:45 | SC Wanderers | Eastern Suburbs Brisbane | 2.63 | 1.23 | 1.37 | 1.40 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie A | 00:00 | Santos | Juventude | 5.88 | 1.79 | 2.00 | 1.95 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Iceland | Pepsideild | 20:15 | ÍA | Valur | 1.96 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Cuiabá | Volta Redonda | 3.03 | 2.13 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Treaty United | Kerry | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Banga | FA Šiauliai | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:30 | Oriente Petrolero | Aurora | 1.52 | 1.45 | 2.13 | 1.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 22:30 | Always Ready | Nacional Potosí | 2.33 | 1.52 | 1.69 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bulgaria | Parva Liga | 19:15 | Botev Plovdiv | Arda | 0.00 | 2.00 | 2.56 | 2.00 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | Ilves | Gnistan | 1.92 | 1.59 | 1.47 | 1.57 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 16:00 | Hapoel Hadera | Hapoel Acre | 1.67 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Cobh Ramblers | Wexford Youths | 2.13 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Trollhättan | Ljungskile | 1.35 | 1.47 | 1.52 | 1.44 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 18:00 | Malmö FF | FC København | 0.00 | 2.13 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 20:00 | HFX Wanderers | Vancouver FC | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.73 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 01:00 | Cienciano | Los Chankas | 1.45 | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Poland | 1. Liga | 18:00 | Tychy 71 | Wisła Kraków | 1.14 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.62 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:30 | Džiugas Telšiai | Hegelmann Litauen | 2.63 | 1.92 | 2.17 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:00 | Sport Boys | ADT | 1.56 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 01:00 | Delfin | Vinotinto FC | 4.35 | 1.92 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 18:00 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2.44 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Skövde AIK | IFK Skovde | 1.27 | 1.64 | 1.49 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Dundalk | Longford Town | 2.63 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 22:00 | Cúcuta Deportivo | Atlético Nacional | 2.17 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Umeå | Falkenberg | 1.85 | 1.67 | 1.56 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Hässleholms IF | Ariana | 2.38 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 17:00 | Unirea Slobozia | Otelul | 1.00 | 2.27 | 2.86 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 18:00 | Žalgiris | Kauno Žalgiris | 4.55 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 19:15 | Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Ra'anana | 0.00 | 2.00 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:30 | Rionegro Águilas | Fortaleza CEIF | 2.86 | 2.38 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | VJS | PEPO | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.56 | 1.57 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Athlone Town | UCD | 2.63 | 2.04 | 1.85 | 1.73 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Santos Laguna W | Guadalajara W | 50.00 | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.91 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:00 | Skendija 79 | Qarabağ | 0.00 | 2.22 | 2.27 | 1.91 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Allsvenskan | 18:00 | IFK Göteborg | Degerfors | 1.43 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 12:00 | Daegu | FC Barcelona | 1.27 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Pachuca W | Toluca W | 2.78 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 1.50 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:45 | Rangers | Viktoria Plzeň | 0.00 | 2.17 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | KÍ | Neman Grodno | 0.00 | 2.22 | 2.04 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 22:30 | Atlético Tembetary | General Caballero JLM | 2.17 | 2.50 | 2.27 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: North | 18:00 | Vasalund | Hammarby Talang | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Finn Harps | Bray Wanderers | 1.89 | 2.13 | 2.17 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 17:00 | HJK | Inter Turku | 1.69 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.44 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 23:00 | Pacific | Cavalry | 2.27 | 2.63 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 22:30 | Deportivo Recoleta | Guaraní | 2.44 | 2.44 | 1.64 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Pumas UNAM W | Cruz Azul W | 8.33 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 23:30 | Ituano | Londrina | 2.38 | 2.78 | 2.38 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bulgaria | Parva Liga | 17:00 | Cherno More | Beroe | 0.00 | 3.23 | 2.94 | 2.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 20:00 | Sportivo Ameliano | Libertad | 4.00 | 3.13 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Claypole | Defensores de Cambaceres | 2.08 | 3.45 | 2.44 | 2.63 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 17:45 | Ashdod | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.00 | 2.56 | 2.38 | 1.73 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:00 | Melgar | Juan Pablo II College | 2.44 | 3.13 | 2.63 | 2.25 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:00 | Dynamo Kyiv | Paphos | 0.00 | 3.03 | 2.86 | 2.10 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Poland | Polish Cup | 17:00 | Podbeskidzie | Resovia Rzeszów | 3.03 | 2.78 | 2.22 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Serbia | Super Liga | 18:00 | Železničar Pančevo | Napredak | 0.00 | 2.78 | 2.04 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 15:00 | Niger | Guinea | 2.50 | 3.57 | 3.57 | 2.38 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 18:00 | Alianza Universidad | Universitario | 3.57 | 3.03 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 23:00 | Universidad Chile | Cobresal | 2.27 | 3.03 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 20:00 | Liverpool | Athletic Club | 1.27 | 2.94 | 2.63 | 1.62 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 19:30 | Rapid Bucuresti | Botoşani | 0.00 | 3.23 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 20:00 | Brusque | Itabaiana | 6.25 | 4.55 | 3.57 | 2.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Deportivo Muñiz | El Porvenir | 5.00 | 4.76 | 2.38 | 2.38 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 01:10 | Defensores de Belgrano | Deportivo Morón | 5.56 | 5.56 | 3.33 | 2.50 |