Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | TJ Tatran Bohunice | Zbrojovka Brno | 0.00 | 1.75 | 2.13 | 2.75 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Rokycany | Mladá Boleslav | 1.33 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | FK Brandys nad Labem | Slovan Liberec | 1.12 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 2.63 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Bospor Bohumín | Karviná | 1.85 | 1.79 | 2.00 | 2.38 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Germany | DFB Pokal | 19:45 | Wehen Wiesbaden | FC Bayern München | 100.00 | 1.69 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Corinthians | 0.00 | 1.92 | 2.22 | 2.38 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Young Boys | Slovan Bratislava | 1.19 | 1.28 | 1.52 | 1.57 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | FC København | Basel | 3.45 | 1.45 | 1.61 | 1.73 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | Benfica | Fenerbahçe | 20.00 | 1.56 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Jiskra Domažlice | Písek | 0.00 | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Austria | Austrian Cup | 19:30 | SV Horn | LASK Linz | 0.00 | 1.82 | 2.44 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Oxford United | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0.00 | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | Club Brugge | Rangers | 1.22 | 1.43 | 1.69 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 22:00 | Alianza Petrolera | Santa Fe | 0.00 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Beşiktaş | Lausanne Sport | 1.30 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | FSV Mainz 05 | Rosenborg | 0.00 | 1.75 | 1.47 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 02:30 | Atlético Nacional | Deportes Quindío | 0.00 | 1.96 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Pachuca W | Atlas W | 2.44 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Sekhukhune United | AmaZulu | 33.33 | 2.27 | 2.94 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 23:30 | Bahia | Fluminense | 1.20 | 2.08 | 2.94 | 2.05 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Petřín Plzeň | Motorlet Praha | 0.00 | 1.61 | 2.00 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Fulham | Bristol City | 1.25 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Kauno Žalgiris | Hegelmann Litauen | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.62 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 17:30 | AEK Larnaca | Brann | 0.00 | 1.82 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:00 | Sokol Lanžhot | Hanácká | 0.00 | 1.79 | 2.17 | 1.67 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Legia Warszawa | Hibernian | 0.00 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | FC Utrecht | Zrinjski | 1.43 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Spain | La Liga | 20:00 | Celta de Vigo | Real Betis | 0.00 | 1.72 | 1.92 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 17:30 | MS Jerusalem | Tzeirey Tira | 1.06 | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Universitatea Craiova | İstanbul Başakşehir | 0.00 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.67 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 16:00 | KuPS | FC Midtjylland | 0.00 | 1.79 | 1.96 | 1.57 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Virtus | Breidablik | 33.33 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 23:30 | Atlético Mineiro | Cruzeiro | 0.00 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.25 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Dinamo City | Jagiellonia Białystok | 5.26 | 2.08 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:07 | Guadalajara W | Monterrey W | 2.94 | 2.00 | 1.96 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Japan | Emperor Cup | 10:30 | Machida Zelvia | Kashima Antlers | 3.33 | 2.27 | 2.04 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 01:00 | Deportivo Pereira | Real Cundinamarca | 0.00 | 2.70 | 2.27 | 2.38 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 00:30 | Atlético Bucaramanga | América de Cali | 0.00 | 2.56 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 19:00 | Al Ettifaq | Al Kholood | 1.92 | 2.04 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | CSM Satu Mare | CSM Slatina | 1.15 | 2.00 | 2.70 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Golden Arrows | Magesi | 0.00 | 3.03 | 2.38 | 2.63 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Baník Ostrava | Celje | 1.01 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.44 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 17:45 | Qarabağ | Ferencvárosi | 4.17 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | AZ | Levski Sofia | 0.00 | 2.38 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Rīgas FS | Hamrun Spartans | 9.09 | 2.33 | 2.63 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:30 | FCSB | Aberdeen | 4.55 | 2.33 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 16:30 | MS Dimona | Hapoel Azor | 4.00 | 2.50 | 2.56 | 2.00 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Genk | Lech Poznań | 1.18 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 1.57 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | SK Rapid | Győri ETO | 1.22 | 2.33 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 19:15 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Hapoel Migdal Haemek | 3.03 | 2.38 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Finland | Ykkonen | 16:30 | Lahti | Klubi-04 | 1.54 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:45 | Riga | Sparta Praha | 2.27 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:30 | Gangwon | Jeonbuk Motors | 1.85 | 2.50 | 2.70 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Slovenia | Slovenian Cup | 16:00 | Brežice | Rogaška | 100.00 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 1.50 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Scotland | Challenge Cup | 19:45 | Hamilton Academical | Edinburgh City | 0.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Shamrock Rovers | Santa Clara | 0.00 | 3.03 | 2.63 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Japan | Emperor Cup | 10:30 | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4.00 | 2.70 | 3.33 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 21:00 | Fortaleza CEIF | Independiente Medellín | 0.00 | 3.23 | 2.22 | 2.25 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Arda | Raków Częstochowa | 0.00 | 3.33 | 2.13 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | ASU Poli Timişoara | CS Dinamo București | 0.00 | 2.94 | 1.82 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 00:00 | Everton | La Serena | 2.08 | 2.94 | 2.22 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Velke Hamry | Dukla Praha | 8.33 | 3.13 | 2.70 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Metalul Buzău | Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 0.00 | 2.94 | 2.86 | 1.50 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 18:30 | PAOK | Rijeka | 0.00 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Vysoke Myto | Vysočina Jihlava | 100.00 | 3.45 | 3.03 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | AEK Athens | Anderlecht | 0.00 | 3.45 | 2.63 | 1.73 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Noah | Olimpija | 33.33 | 3.45 | 1.75 | 1.62 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Linfield | Shelbourne | 0.00 | 3.85 | 2.94 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Slovakia | Slovakia Cup | 16:00 | Partizán Bardejov | Vranov nad Topľou | 0.00 | 3.33 | 2.78 | 1.44 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 01:30 | Vasco da Gama | Botafogo | 4.76 | 3.85 | 2.17 | 1.95 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Austria | Austrian Cup | 18:00 | Floridsdorfer AC | Stripfing | 0.00 | 3.70 | 2.86 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Şoimii Gura Humorului | Sepsi | 8.33 | 4.76 | 5.00 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Dumbrăviţa | Bihor Oradea | 1.39 | 4.35 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Voluntari | Csikszereda | 2.94 | 4.35 | 3.45 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:00 | Corvinul Hunedoara | Farul Constanța | 0.00 | 5.26 | 4.35 | 1.62 |