Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 25/07/2024 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 03:30 | Arsenal | AFC Bournemouth | 2.44 | 2.27 | 2.50 | 3.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 19:15 | Wil | Aarau | 1.54 | 1.67 | 3.03 | 2.38 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:30 | SC Wanderers | WDSC Wolves | 3.57 | 2.70 | 2.56 | 3.40 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | TPV | Honka | 2.50 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 2.38 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 00:30 | Liverpool | Real Betis | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.85 | 2.50 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Paksi SE | AEK Larnaca | 1.67 | 1.49 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 19:00 | Zamalek | Pyramids FC | 1.64 | 1.54 | 1.96 | 2.00 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Cusco FC | Sport Huancayo | 1.67 | 1.43 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Heidelberg United | Hume City | 1.67 | 1.85 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Romania | Liga 1 | 17:00 | Hermannstadt | Unirea Slobozia | 1.00 | 1.32 | 1.64 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nord | 18:00 | VfB Lübeck | Todesfelde | 1.54 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 2.10 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Denmark | Superliga | 18:00 | SønderjyskE | Lyngby | 1.56 | 1.61 | 2.33 | 1.95 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Ilves | Austria Wien | 3.33 | 2.08 | 2.56 | 2.38 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 03:30 | Deportivo Saprissa | Guanacasteca | 2.78 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 1.80 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Euro U19 | 14:00 | Italy U19 | Spain U19 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:30 | Gangwon | Jeonbuk Motors | 2.38 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Comerciantes Unidos | Carlos Mannucci | 1.59 | 1.59 | 2.63 | 1.83 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 18:00 | Sheriff | Elfsborg | 1.08 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Always Ready | LDU Quito | 1.01 | 1.79 | 2.44 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:30 | Jeju United | Ulsan | 2.38 | 2.04 | 1.92 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 19:15 | Étoile Carouge | Neuchâtel Xamax | 1.92 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Bayern | 18:00 | Würzburger Kickers | Schwaben Augsburg | 1.61 | 1.72 | 2.33 | 1.91 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:15 | Maccabi Haifa | Sabah | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Cork City | Kerry | 1.06 | 1.22 | 1.39 | 1.40 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:00 | Brusque | Paysandu | 1.27 | 1.54 | 1.96 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Banga | Kauno Žalgiris | 1.52 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.73 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 16:00 | KuPS | Tromsø | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Amazonas | Guarani | 1.75 | 1.47 | 1.64 | 1.57 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Alianza Atlético | Melgar | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Saburtalo | Partizani Tirana | 3.33 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Egypt | Premier League | 19:00 | Al Masry | Al Ahly | 1.85 | 1.64 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | 1. Liga | 17:00 | Miedź Legnica | Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.92 | 1.72 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 23:30 | Sportivo Trinidense | Guaraní | 1.96 | 2.00 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | World | Olympic Games Women | 20:00 | United States W | Zambia W | 1.22 | 1.41 | 1.61 | 1.40 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Drogheda United | Waterford United | 2.33 | 2.08 | 1.92 | 2.05 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | Ekstraklasa | 17:00 | Puszcza Niepołomice | Górnik Zabrze | 1.01 | 2.00 | 2.44 | 1.95 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 22:00 | América de Cali | Envigado | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.47 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:00 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | Real Tomayapo | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.92 | 2.10 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | F91 Dudelange | Häcken | 1.04 | 2.08 | 3.03 | 2.00 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Bayern | 17:30 | Nürnberg II | Bayreuth | 1.85 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Vysočina Jihlava | Vyškov | 1.02 | 2.04 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 00:45 | Temperley | San Telmo | 1.45 | 1.64 | 1.96 | 1.50 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:00 | Millonarios | Atlético Nacional | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Switzerland | Challenge League | 18:30 | Stade Nyonnais | Bellinzona | 1.61 | 2.17 | 2.63 | 2.00 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | China PR | Super League | 13:00 | Sichuan | Beijing Guoan | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.96 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Treaty United | Finn Harps | 1.47 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 18:00 | Molde | Silkeborg | 2.17 | 2.22 | 2.63 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:30 | South Melbourne | Port Melbourne | 2.08 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.00 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Floriana | Vitória SC | 2.70 | 1.85 | 1.69 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Denmark | First Division | 18:00 | Horsens | Hillerød | 5.56 | 2.44 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Poland | 2. Liga East | 16:30 | Kalisz | SKRA Częstochowa | 4.35 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.67 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | Romania | Liga 1 | 20:00 | FCSB | Otelul | 3.23 | 1.92 | 2.22 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 00:00 | Deportivo Garcilaso | Sport Boys | 1.96 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 01:00 | César Vallejo | UTC Cajamarca | 1.52 | 2.00 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:00 | Almagro | Defensores de Belgrano | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.59 | 1.44 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Žalgiris | Paphos | 1.00 | 2.13 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Valur | St. Mirren | 5.00 | 2.56 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Cerro Porteño | 2.86 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 1.50 |
0 | 25/07/2024 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Bragantino | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1.64 | 1.96 | 1.92 | 1.62 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | CFR Cluj | Neman Grodno | 1.75 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.62 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | St. Gallen | Tobol | 1.39 | 2.17 | 2.70 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Brøndby | KF Llapi | 1.96 | 1.82 | 2.13 | 1.44 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:30 | Omonia Nicosia | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.00 | 2.13 | 2.04 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Ceará | Botafogo SP | 3.03 | 1.96 | 2.13 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Bray Wanderers | Wexford Youths | 3.70 | 2.56 | 2.27 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Canada | Premier League | 00:00 | York9 | Atlético Ottawa | 1.69 | 2.27 | 2.13 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Panathinaikos | Botev Plovdiv | 2.38 | 2.33 | 1.52 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Opava | Zbrojovka Brno | 1.79 | 2.63 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 00:00 | Corinthians | Grêmio | 1.33 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Unión Comercio | Atlético Grau | 1.82 | 2.38 | 2.70 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Chile | Primera Division | 00:00 | Everton | Deportes Iquique | 4.17 | 2.94 | 1.89 | 2.38 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 01:30 | Fluminense | Palmeiras | 1.75 | 2.38 | 2.13 | 1.80 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Baník Ostrava | Urartu | 2.38 | 2.22 | 2.44 | 1.57 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Stjarnan | Paide | 1.00 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Cobh Ramblers | Athlone Town | 2.63 | 2.56 | 3.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Hartford Athletic | Phoenix Rising | 2.50 | 2.86 | 2.70 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 17:00 | Vlašim | Chrudim | 2.86 | 3.03 | 2.63 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Bohemians | Dundalk | 1.85 | 2.78 | 2.00 | 1.95 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Goiás | CRB | 2.50 | 2.38 | 2.04 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:00 | Luckenwalde | ZFC Meuselwitz | 2.33 | 3.23 | 2.56 | 2.25 |
1 | 26/07/2024 | China PR | Super League | 12:35 | Shanghai Port | Nantong Zhiyun | 4.00 | 3.03 | 2.22 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/07/2024 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Dandenong City | Manningham United Blues | 3.33 | 4.17 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
1 | 25/07/2024 | Brazil | Serie A | 01:30 | Atlético GO | Bahia | 2.33 | 3.45 | 2.63 | 1.95 |