Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Finland | Finland Cup | 17:00 | Tervarit-j | KePS | 3.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Finland | Finland Cup | 17:00 | HaPK | IPS Edustus | 1.30 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 2.50 |
1 | 26/03/2024 | Europe | Euro Qualification | 19:45 | Wales | Poland | 3.33 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 19:00 | Yemen | United Arab Emirates | 1.01 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 20:00 | Egypt | Croatia | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | National League | 19:45 | Solihull Moors | Southend United | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.89 | 1.95 |
1 | 26/03/2024 | Europe | Euro Qualification | 19:45 | Ukraine | Iceland | 1.39 | 1.32 | 1.41 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:45 | Scotland | Northern Ireland | 1.01 | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 20:30 | Spain | Brazil | 1.00 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:15 | Chemie Leipzig | Energie Cottbus | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 09:30 | Bangladesh | Palestine | 1.00 | 1.14 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 13:30 | India | Afghanistan | 1.03 | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.80 |
1 | 26/03/2024 | Europe | Euro Qualification | 17:00 | Georgia | Greece | 2.56 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Banbury United | South Shields | 2.08 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 01:00 | Colón | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1.59 | 1.23 | 1.39 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 14:00 | Malaysia | Oman | 1.04 | 1.45 | 1.59 | 1.75 |
1 | 26/03/2024 | Europe | UEFA Nations League | 17:00 | Lithuania | Gibraltar | 1.54 | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.40 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 01:00 | El Salvador | Honduras | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 18:00 | Hungary | Kosovo | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.56 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 12:00 | China PR | Singapore | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.70 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:00 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.52 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 12:30 | Thailand | Korea Republic | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nord | 17:30 | St. Pauli II | Phönix Lübeck | 1.61 | 1.96 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 00:00 | Atlético Rafaela | Brown de Adrogué | 1.11 | 1.37 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 23:10 | Atlético Nacional | Jaguares de Córdoba | 1.61 | 1.37 | 1.59 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 01:00 | Nicaragua | Cuba | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 21:00 | Grecia | Puntarenas | 1.82 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:30 | Senegal | Benin | 1.08 | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Morocco | Coupe Du Trone | 22:00 | Stade Marocain | Moghreb Tétouan | 1.00 | 1.52 | 2.08 | 1.62 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 22:00 | Morocco | Mauritania | 1.00 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.40 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 00:00 | Santos de Guápiles | Guanacasteca | 1.72 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 11:00 | Philippines | Iraq | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.50 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 21:00 | Atlético Bucaramanga | Rionegro Águilas | 1.14 | 1.52 | 1.69 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | National League | 19:45 | Altrincham | Wealdstone | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 2.25 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 00:00 | Orense | Emelec | 1.39 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 00:00 | Estudiantes Río Cuarto | Atletico Mitre | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.64 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 12:00 | Vietnam | Indonesia | 1.02 | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Croatia | 2. HNL | 15:30 | Orijent 1919 | Vukovar | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 19:00 | Kuwait | Qatar | 1.03 | 1.72 | 1.82 | 1.70 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 20:00 | France | Chile | 2.13 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 23:00 | Pérez Zeledón | Sporting San José | 2.04 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:45 | Republic of Ireland | Switzerland | 1.00 | 1.85 | 2.22 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 22:00 | Togo | Libya | 2.78 | 1.59 | 1.64 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League South | 00:00 | Taunton Town | Slough Town | 2.27 | 2.17 | 2.27 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 19:00 | Bahrain | Nepal | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.16 | 1.17 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Italy | Serie C: Girone A | 15:15 | Triestina | Alessandria | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 08:45 | Lebanon | Australia | 1.00 | 1.61 | 1.82 | 1.50 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Peterborough Sports | Warrington Town | 2.27 | 2.22 | 2.08 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:00 | Guyana | Cambodia | 1.35 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 01:30 | Municipal Liberia | Alajuelense | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.96 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:45 | England | Belgium | 1.00 | 1.96 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 19:00 | Jordan | Pakistan | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 21:00 | Algeria | South Africa | 4.17 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 19:00 | Syria | Myanmar | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.33 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Iceland | League Cup | 19:15 | Breidablik | ÍA | 1.69 | 2.94 | 2.78 | 2.75 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Uruguay | Primera Division | 19:00 | Progreso | Rampla Juniors | 2.63 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Brazil | Gaucho 1 | 00:45 | Internacional | Juventude | 1.52 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 15:00 | Tajikistan | Saudi Arabia | 1.01 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.75 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Brazil | Gaucho 1 | 00:00 | Grêmio | Caxias | 2.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.53 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 18:00 | Norway | Slovakia | 2.08 | 1.92 | 2.04 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Brazil | Carioca 1 | 22:30 | Boavista | Botafogo | 4.17 | 2.13 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 21:00 | Mali | Nigeria | 2.04 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 01:30 | Peru | Dominican Republic | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.29 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Truro City | Dartford | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:15 | Denmark | Faroe Islands | 1.00 | 1.75 | 1.89 | 1.33 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:45 | Austria | Turkey | 1.00 | 2.33 | 2.38 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Brazil | Paulista A1 | 23:30 | Santos | Bragantino | 2.33 | 2.22 | 2.33 | 1.80 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Spennymoor Town | Scunthorpe United | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 22:00 | Tacuary | Sportivo Ameliano | 1.27 | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | National League | 19:45 | Gateshead | Hartlepool United | 3.33 | 2.94 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 00:00 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores de Belgrano | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.72 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 17:30 | ZFC Meuselwitz | Babelsberg | 1.79 | 2.70 | 1.79 | 2.10 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Southport | Bishop's Stortford | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.96 | 1.67 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 14:00 | Kyrgyz Republic | Chinese Taipei | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.04 | 1.25 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Weston-super-Mare | Farnborough | 3.45 | 2.94 | 2.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Czech Republic | 2. Liga FNL | 14:00 | Varnsdorf | Lisen | 2.27 | 2.94 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | WC Qualification Asia | 14:30 | Uzbekistan | Hong Kong | 1.19 | 2.56 | 2.22 | 1.25 |
0 | 27/03/2024 | Europe | Champions League Women | 20:00 | Chelsea W | Ajax W | 1.89 | 2.94 | 2.17 | 1.57 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | Europe | Elite League U20 | 16:00 | Romania U20 | Poland U20 | 1.03 | 4.35 | 4.35 | 1.91 |
0 | 26/03/2024 | World | Friendly International | 19:00 | Czech Republic | Armenia | 2.38 | 6.25 | 7.14 | 1.62 |