Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:00 | Always Ready | ABB | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.69 | 2.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Raufoss | Hødd | 1.49 | 1.56 | 1.64 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 1 | 13:00 | Vard | Arendal | 2.04 | 1.85 | 2.86 | 2.38 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Hartford Athletic | Loudoun United | 1.45 | 1.59 | 2.44 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Kerry | Bray Wanderers | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.96 | 2.00 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 00:00 | Alianza Universidad | UTC Cajamarca | 1.85 | 1.45 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 21:00 | Detroit City | Miami FC II | 1.75 | 1.45 | 1.61 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 1 | 14:00 | Pors Grenland | Flekkerøy | 4.00 | 2.22 | 2.04 | 2.63 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 11:30 | Hume City | Heidelberg United | 2.13 | 1.82 | 2.33 | 2.20 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | UCD | Cobh Ramblers | 1.37 | 1.54 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:00 | Dalian Huayi | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.67 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Syria | Premier League | 15:00 | Taliya | Karama | 1.00 | 1.14 | 1.23 | 1.50 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Dundalk | Treaty United | 1.79 | 1.75 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Athlone Town | Finn Harps | 1.89 | 2.17 | 2.27 | 2.50 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 19:45 | Wexford Youths | Longford Town | 2.08 | 1.92 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: North | 15:00 | United Nordic | Enkoping | 1.72 | 2.08 | 2.44 | 2.38 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Deportivo Español | Ituzaingó | 1.03 | 1.20 | 1.52 | 1.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 22:30 | Remo | Paysandu | 1.18 | 1.54 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 08:00 | Avispa Fukuoka | Albirex Niigata | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.49 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 22:30 | Huachipato | Palestino | 1.52 | 1.72 | 1.89 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Emelec | Delfin | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.56 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:30 | Shijiazhuang Kungfu | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 1.85 | 1.56 | 1.64 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 23:00 | Cavalry | Pacific | 1.56 | 1.59 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1.25 | 1.39 | 1.79 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Jeonbuk Motors | Seoul | 1.41 | 1.52 | 2.13 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 11:30 | Hønefoss | Rana | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Aalesund | Odd | 2.13 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | El Porvenir | Central Córdoba | 2.27 | 1.37 | 1.45 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Midland | Flandria | 1.05 | 1.22 | 1.49 | 1.40 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Defensores de Cambaceres | Mercedes | 1.75 | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Macará | Vinotinto FC | 1.43 | 1.56 | 1.89 | 1.73 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Waterford United | Bohemians | 1.96 | 1.96 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Excursionistas | Villa Dálmine | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.53 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Sportivo Italiano | Fénix | 1.27 | 1.20 | 1.54 | 1.30 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 03:00 | Universitario | ADT | 2.38 | 1.64 | 1.49 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Brown de Adrogué | Argentino Merlo | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.59 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | El Nacional | Universidad Católica | 2.13 | 2.17 | 2.38 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Ranheim | Lillestrøm | 1.67 | 2.44 | 2.78 | 2.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Acassuso | Argentino Quilmes | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 20:00 | Universidad Chile | Deportes Iquique | 1.92 | 1.75 | 2.13 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Villa San Carlos | Comunicaciones | 1.96 | 1.49 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Shelbourne | Derry City | 1.79 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | Almagro | Tristán Suárez | 1.14 | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Real Pilar | Liniers | 2.27 | 1.35 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | San Miguel | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1.16 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.36 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Galway United | St Patrick's | 1.67 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 20:00 | Racing Córdoba | Deportivo Madryn | 1.67 | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Pohang Steelers | Jeju United | 1.49 | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 20:00 | Avaí | Athletico PR | 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Deportivo Merlo | San Martín Burzaco | 1.82 | 1.61 | 2.04 | 1.57 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 22:30 | Unión La Calera | Universidad Católica | 1.35 | 1.72 | 2.04 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 20:30 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores Unidos | 1.20 | 1.28 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | UAI Urquiza | Deportivo Laferrere | 1.69 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 22:30 | Universitario de Vinto | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 5.26 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Seongnam | Chungnam Asan | 1.33 | 2.08 | 2.22 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | JJ Urquiza | Puerto Nuevo | 2.50 | 1.69 | 1.59 | 1.57 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:30 | Melbourne Knights | Green Gully | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Cheonan City | Seoul E. | 1.72 | 2.04 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Claypole | Berazategui | 1.92 | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.53 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Argentino Rosario | Victoriano Arenas | 1.47 | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.44 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 13:00 | Kjelsås | Strømmen | 1.89 | 2.27 | 2.22 | 2.10 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Botafogo SP | Chapecoense | 1.49 | 1.75 | 1.56 | 1.57 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Kashiwa Reysol | Kyoto Sanga | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 00:30 | Ferroviária | CRB | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:35 | América Mineiro | Criciúma | 2.04 | 1.92 | 2.50 | 1.67 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 11:30 | St. Albans Saints | Oakleigh Cannons | 2.04 | 2.38 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2.13 | 2.08 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 19:30 | Quilmes | Deportivo Maipú | 1.56 | 1.79 | 2.04 | 1.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J2-League | 11:00 | JEF United | Júbilo Iwata | 2.78 | 2.50 | 2.63 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 13:00 | Åsane | Moss | 1.61 | 2.56 | 2.86 | 2.25 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:30 | Nantong Zhiyun | Shenyang Urban | 3.23 | 2.17 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Luján | Cañuelas | 1.41 | 1.79 | 1.47 | 1.44 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Lexington | Colorado Springs | 2.08 | 2.56 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J2-League | 11:00 | Fujieda MYFC | Consadole Sapporo | 2.22 | 2.56 | 2.94 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Rhode Island | Sacramento Republic | 1.20 | 2.04 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Latvia | Virsliga | 14:00 | FC Daugavpils | Tukums | 1.35 | 2.38 | 2.63 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Metropolitana | 18:00 | Dock Sud | Deportivo Armenio | 1.64 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Charleston Battery | Phoenix Rising | 3.70 | 2.22 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 13:00 | Egersund | Kongsvinger | 7.69 | 3.03 | 2.94 | 2.63 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Japan | J-League | 08:00 | Machida Zelvia | Kashima Antlers | 1.64 | 2.22 | 2.27 | 1.80 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Centro Español | General Lamadrid | 2.22 | 2.04 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Incheon United | Hwaseong | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 20:00 | HFX Wanderers | Vancouver FC | 1.79 | 2.17 | 1.96 | 1.73 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K-League 1 | 11:00 | Gangwon | Daegu | 1.82 | 2.50 | 2.22 | 2.00 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 23:00 | Libertad | Técnico Universitario | 2.44 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Korea Republic | K League 2 | 11:00 | Ansan Greeners | Bucheon 1995 | 1.96 | 2.33 | 2.04 | 1.80 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 19:45 | Drogheda United | Sligo Rovers | 3.03 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.95 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 17:00 | Eidsvold | Levanger | 6.25 | 3.23 | 2.86 | 2.63 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | North Carolina | Louisville City | 2.00 | 2.70 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Indy Eleven | Las Vegas Lights | 1.08 | 2.63 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Republic of Ireland | Premier Division | 20:00 | Shamrock Rovers | Cork City | 1.92 | 2.27 | 2.63 | 1.62 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:15 | Los Chankas | Sporting Cristal | 2.27 | 2.86 | 2.94 | 2.20 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Latvia | Virsliga | 16:00 | Liepāja | Metta / LU | 2.04 | 2.33 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
1 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Eliteserien | 17:00 | Bodø / Glimt | Brann | 3.57 | 3.23 | 3.57 | 2.50 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Yupanqui | Sportivo Barracas | 2.38 | 2.33 | 1.72 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 18:00 | Juventud Unida G. | Estrella del Sur | 2.17 | 2.38 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | Obos-Ligaen | 15:00 | Start | Stabæk | 2.44 | 3.70 | 2.86 | 2.75 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | Sport Huancayo | Melgar | 2.56 | 2.94 | 2.27 | 1.91 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 19:30 | Tromsdalen | Strindheim | 4.76 | 3.03 | 2.27 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 08:15 | Gold Coast Knights | Brisbane City | 2.13 | 3.57 | 2.94 | 2.38 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Norway | 2. Division - Group 2 | 13:00 | Grorud | Ullensaker / Kisa | 2.44 | 3.85 | 2.63 | 2.63 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 17:30 | Unión Española | Coquimbo Unido | 1.59 | 3.13 | 2.50 | 1.91 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:00 | Moreton City Excelsior | Brisbane Roar II | 2.27 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | China PR | League One | 12:00 | Shaanxi Union | Guangzhou E-Power | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.35 | 2.10 |
0 | 21/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:00 | Eastern Suburbs Brisbane | Peninsula Power | 2.94 | 4.55 | 3.45 | 2.63 |
0 | 20/06/2025 | Australia | Npl Victoria | 10:45 | Dandenong City | Altona Magic | 2.44 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 2.25 |