Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 19:15 | Vålerenga | Bodø / Glimt | 1.03 | 1.69 | 1.96 | 2.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | League One | 09:00 | Zibo Sunday | Guangxi Baoyun | 1.64 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 17:00 | PK-35 | HIFK | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.39 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Iceland | Iceland Cup | 20:45 | Selfoss | Víkingur Reykjavík | 1.08 | 1.67 | 1.92 | 2.25 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 16:00 | Inter Turku | HJK | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.39 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | Honka Akatemia | MuSa | 10.00 | 2.08 | 2.44 | 2.63 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | USA | Major League Soccer | 00:30 | Cincinnati | New York City | 1.69 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 2.38 |
1 | 28/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 11:30 | Shandong Luneng | Henan Jianye | 1.00 | 1.41 | 1.61 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Svenska Cupen | 18:30 | Lindome | GAIS | 2.44 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 2.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Australia | Northern Nsw | 10:00 | Maitland | Lambton Jaffas | 2.22 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 2.50 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 10:30 | Shenzhen | Tianjin Teda | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Ittihad Tanger | Maghreb Fès | 1.32 | 1.23 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | FUS Rabat | Rapide Oued Zem | 1.54 | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Sudamericana | 01:30 | Colo-Colo | Internacional | 1.67 | 1.35 | 1.72 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Kjelsås | Skeid | 1.00 | 1.75 | 1.92 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Riadi Salmi | Hassania Agadir | 1.43 | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.62 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Norrby | Östersunds FK | 1.18 | 1.43 | 1.89 | 1.75 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | KaaPo | Tampere United | 1.41 | 2.08 | 2.38 | 2.38 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 08:30 | Shanghai SIPG | Shanghai Shenhua | 1.10 | 1.41 | 1.69 | 1.70 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Halmstad | Trelleborg | 2.27 | 1.52 | 1.69 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Cerro Porteño | Palmeiras | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 1.57 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Corinthians | Boca Juniors | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.56 | 1.53 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 12:30 | Changchun Yatai | Hangzhou | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Talleres Córdoba | Colón | 1.41 | 1.54 | 1.89 | 1.75 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Raja Casablanca | FAR Rabat | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | EPS | SalPa | 1.20 | 1.92 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | VJS | HJS Akatemia | 2.38 | 2.50 | 3.23 | 2.63 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Jeonbuk Motors | Suwon Bluewings | 1.00 | 1.61 | 1.47 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 20:30 | Khouribga | Olympic Safi | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Finland | Finland Cup | 16:30 | Lahti | JäPS | 4.76 | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.91 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | US Open Cup | 00:00 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 1.49 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Náutico | Criciúma | 2.13 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Cruzeiro | Sport Recife | 1.00 | 1.41 | 1.64 | 1.40 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Guarani | Ituano | 1.22 | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 02:50 | San Antonio | Tulsa Roughnecks | 1.41 | 2.13 | 2.17 | 2.10 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | USA | Major League Soccer | 00:30 | Toronto | Columbus Crew | 2.22 | 2.13 | 1.92 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Grêmio | Londrina | 1.22 | 1.56 | 2.08 | 1.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | League One | 09:00 | Nantong Zhiyun | Qingdao Youth Island | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.54 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 20:30 | RSB Berkane | Chabab Mohammédia | 1.54 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Argentina | Copa Argentina | 22:05 | Gimnasia La Plata | Flandria | 1.00 | 1.89 | 1.54 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 20:30 | Zamalek | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1.75 | 2.08 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Brusque | Bahia | 1.14 | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.50 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | Japan | J-League | 11:00 | Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.56 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.70 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:00 | Ulsan | Bucheon 1995 | 1.39 | 1.89 | 1.61 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Sotra | Haugesund | 1.00 | 2.22 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Europe | Euro U19 | 16:00 | England U19 | Italy U19 | 1.12 | 2.33 | 2.38 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Vila Nova | Ponte Preta | 1.15 | 1.75 | 1.59 | 1.50 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 23:15 | Emelec | Atlético Mineiro | 2.94 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.70 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Pyramids FC | ENPPI | 1.64 | 2.00 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Ghazl El Mehalla | Ismaily | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.56 | 1.53 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 01:15 | Defensores de Belgrano | Chacarita Juniors | 2.44 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.53 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Gjøvik-Lyn | Stabæk | 1.61 | 2.70 | 2.22 | 2.38 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Eidsvold | Molde | 5.88 | 2.04 | 2.27 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 18:00 | Al Mokawloon | National Bank of Egypt | 1.85 | 2.08 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 00:00 | Hartford Athletic | Colorado Springs | 2.27 | 2.94 | 4.00 | 2.50 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | South America | Copa Libertadores | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Libertad | 1.14 | 2.13 | 2.17 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Norway | NM Cup | 17:00 | Moss | Start | 1.00 | 2.70 | 2.38 | 2.10 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Mouloudia Oujda | Wydad Casablanca | 2.17 | 2.17 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/06/2022 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Jönköpings Södra | Örgryte | 7.69 | 2.86 | 2.17 | 2.20 |
1 | 29/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 10:00 | Meizhou Hakka | Shijiazhuang Ever Bright | 1.89 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.70 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Morocco | Botola Pro | 18:00 | Difaâ El Jadida | Youssoufia Berrechid | 1.96 | 2.56 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Canada | Premier League | 00:00 | Forge | Valour | 4.00 | 2.70 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/06/2022 | China PR | Super League | 12:30 | Guangzhou R&F | Dalian Yifang | 2.50 | 2.94 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Kazakhstan | Premier League | 15:00 | Ordabasy | Aksu | 1.85 | 2.70 | 2.33 | 1.62 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Singapore | S. League | 12:45 | Home United | Young Lions | 2.04 | 2.78 | 2.50 | 1.67 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Finland | Kakkonen | 17:00 | I-Kissat | GrIFK | 11.11 | 4.55 | 3.57 | 3.40 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | USA | USL Championship | 00:30 | Charleston Battery | Atlanta United II | 2.94 | 3.13 | 2.78 | 1.91 |
0 | 29/06/2022 | Egypt | Premier League | 20:30 | Smouha | Al Ahly | 3.23 | 4.17 | 2.08 | 1.83 |