Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 27/01/2025 | South America | South American Championship U20 | 21:00 | Chile U20 | Peru U20 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Hampton & Richmond | Weymouth | 1.43 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Welling United | Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.79 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | Challenge Cup | 19:45 | Queen's Park | East Kilbride | 1.96 | 1.92 | 2.44 | 2.50 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Turkey | Super Lig | 17:00 | Kasımpaşa | Hatayspor | 2.08 | 1.67 | 2.44 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Hapoel Afula | 1.92 | 1.49 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Charlton Athletic | Bristol Rovers | 1.41 | 1.45 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | League Two | 19:45 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Stranraer | 1.39 | 1.49 | 2.04 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Wrexham | Stevenage | 1.12 | 1.30 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 00:00 | San Carlos | Guanacasteca | 1.59 | 1.56 | 1.72 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Oxford City | Curzon Ashton | 2.00 | 1.56 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Alfreton Town | Leamington | 1.61 | 1.54 | 1.69 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | Lokeren-Temse | AS Eupen | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Rotherham United | Cambridge United | 1.82 | 1.52 | 1.72 | 1.75 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Cyprus | Cyprus Cup | 17:00 | Omonia Nicosia | AEL | 1.00 | 1.61 | 1.52 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Scarborough Athletic | Chorley | 1.82 | 1.69 | 2.08 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Brazil | Carioca 1 | 21:00 | Nova Iguaçu | Boavista | 1.32 | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.75 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Rochdale | Boston United | 1.43 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Colchester United | Port Vale | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Ligat ha'Al | 18:30 | Maccabi Haifa | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 14:00 | National Bank of Egypt | Petrojet | 1.12 | 1.41 | 1.69 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 03:10 | Pachuca W | Atlético San Luis W | 1.37 | 1.69 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Scotland | Championship | 19:45 | Hamilton Academical | Raith Rovers | 1.49 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 21:00 | Palestino | Audax Italiano | 1.72 | 1.72 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 15:00 | Petrolul 52 | Botoşani | 1.18 | 1.54 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 17:00 | Al Quadisiya | Al Hilal | 1.79 | 2.17 | 1.72 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | I-League | 07:30 | Namdhari | Sreenidi Deccan | 3.13 | 2.17 | 2.13 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Slough Town | Weston-super-Mare | 1.85 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone C | 19:30 | Team Altamura | Taranto | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.56 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Spain | La Liga 2 | 19:30 | Cádiz | Mirandés | 1.56 | 1.54 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Northern Ireland | Premiership | 19:45 | Linfield | Crusaders | 1.59 | 1.59 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 01:06 | Tigres UANL W | Toluca W | 2.38 | 1.82 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Portugal | Primeira Liga | 20:15 | AVS | Gil Vicente | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.67 | 1.70 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Farsley Celtic | Marine | 1.32 | 1.79 | 1.72 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Al Masry | ENPPI | 1.14 | 1.52 | 1.56 | 1.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Rushall Olympic | King's Lynn Town | 2.08 | 1.85 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie A | 17:30 | Venezia | Hellas Verona | 2.50 | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.05 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Turkey | 1. Lig | 17:00 | Sakaryaspor | Manisa BBSK | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Haras El Hodood | Future FC | 1.39 | 1.49 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Exeter City | Leyton Orient | 2.04 | 1.85 | 1.56 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Grimsby Town | Gillingham | 1.64 | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Milton Keynes Dons | Harrogate Town | 1.54 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Southend United | Fylde | 1.67 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 20:00 | Huddersfield Town | Birmingham City | 1.72 | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Paulista A1 | 22:30 | Palmeiras | Bragantino | 2.94 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | England | Championship | 20:00 | Burnley | Leeds United | 1.22 | 1.79 | 2.17 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Salford City | Newport County | 1.72 | 1.89 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chippenham Town | Torquay United | 1.82 | 1.89 | 2.56 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Crewe Alexandra | AFC Wimbledon | 1.54 | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.62 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | France | Ligue 2 | 19:45 | Annecy | Dunkerque | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chelmsford City | Maidstone United | 1.85 | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Wycombe Wanderers | Barnsley | 1.72 | 2.17 | 2.27 | 2.05 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | 1.49 | 1.92 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie A | 19:45 | Genoa | Monza | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.75 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 14:05 | Damac | Al Ittihad | 1.79 | 2.17 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Notts County | Carlisle United | 1.49 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Brackley Town | Kidderminster Harriers | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 03:00 | Santos Laguna W | Juárez W | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Farnborough | AFC Hornchurch | 2.13 | 2.04 | 2.70 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 14:00 | Zamalek | El Gounah | 1.00 | 1.75 | 2.08 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone B | 19:30 | Arezzo | Pontedera | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Egypt | Premier League | 17:00 | Smouha | ZED FC | 1.15 | 1.79 | 1.72 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Brazil | Carioca 1 | 00:00 | Vasco da Gama | Portuguesa RJ | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.44 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Costa Rica | Primera Division | 00:00 | Alajuelense | Pérez Zeledón | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Scunthorpe United | Needham Market | 1.85 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Enfield Town | Eastbourne Borough | 2.00 | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | St Albans City | Tonbridge Angels | 2.00 | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Worthing | Boreham Wood | 1.59 | 2.50 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Netherlands | Eerste Divisie | 19:00 | FC Den Bosch | Jong Utrecht | 2.13 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Portugal | Segunda Liga | 18:00 | Torreense | Benfica II | 1.67 | 2.13 | 2.27 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/01/2025 | England | Championship | 19:45 | Portsmouth | Millwall | 1.45 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 1.62 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Chesterfield | Bromley | 1.89 | 2.13 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Spain | La Liga | 20:00 | Deportivo Alavés | Celta de Vigo | 2.27 | 2.13 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 18:00 | Plauen | Hallescher FC | 1.85 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Bolton Wanderers | Northampton Town | 2.27 | 2.17 | 2.27 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Acre | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon | 2.38 | 2.63 | 2.27 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Southport | Spennymoor Town | 2.13 | 2.22 | 2.38 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 23:30 | Deportivo Recoleta | 2 de Mayo | 1.56 | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Italy | Serie C: Girone C | 19:30 | Crotone | Picerno | 1.82 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Lincoln City | Blackpool | 2.78 | 2.22 | 1.64 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Necaxa W | Pumas UNAM W | 1.82 | 2.44 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Stockport County | Shrewsbury Town | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.56 | 1.53 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Algeria | Ligue 1 | 18:00 | USM Alger | Paradou AC | 1.32 | 2.17 | 1.82 | 1.67 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 23:00 | Copiapó | Cobreloa | 2.22 | 2.70 | 1.96 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Swindon Town | Tranmere Rovers | 2.00 | 2.33 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Paranaense 1 | 23:00 | Athletico PR | Cianorte | 4.35 | 2.17 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | India | Indian Super League | 14:00 | ATK Mohun Bagan | Bengaluru | 2.33 | 2.44 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | RFC Seraing | Lierse Kempenzonen | 2.00 | 2.78 | 2.17 | 2.25 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham Town | 2.86 | 2.33 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Peterborough Sports | Hereford | 1.72 | 2.33 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Brazil | Gaucho 1 | 22:00 | Juventude | Guarany de Bagé | 1.00 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.50 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Darlington | Buxton | 1.85 | 2.38 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Netherlands | Eerste Divisie | 19:00 | Jong PSV | VVV-Venlo | 7.14 | 3.33 | 3.57 | 2.75 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | Indian Super League | 14:00 | Minerva Punjab | Jamshedpur | 2.33 | 2.50 | 2.78 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Chile | Chilean Cup | 23:00 | San Marcos | Coquimbo Unido | 1.61 | 2.38 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
1 | 27/01/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 18:00 | CFR Cluj | Farul Constanța | 2.63 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 15:10 | Al Shabab | Al Feiha | 1.75 | 2.63 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Germany | Regionalliga: Nordost | 17:00 | Greifswalder FC | Viktoria Berlin | 2.04 | 2.94 | 2.38 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | India | I-League | 10:00 | Rajasthan FC | Inter Kashi | 1.35 | 3.13 | 2.33 | 2.38 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League Two | 19:45 | Bradford City | Morecambe | 1.59 | 2.50 | 2.17 | 1.73 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Chesham United | Salisbury | 2.56 | 2.70 | 2.44 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/01/2025 | Israel | Liga Leumit | 17:00 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 2.86 | 2.70 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | Belgium | First Division B | 19:00 | RSC Anderlecht II | KRC Genk II | 3.33 | 3.13 | 3.03 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | National League | 19:45 | Barnet | Hartlepool United | 2.44 | 3.03 | 2.86 | 2.10 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Peterborough United | Wigan Athletic | 2.27 | 3.03 | 2.70 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Burton Albion | Reading | 2.56 | 3.23 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League South | 19:45 | Dorking Wanderers | Aveley | 2.38 | 3.13 | 2.44 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | League One | 19:45 | Mansfield Town | Crawley Town | 2.00 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/01/2025 | England | Vanarama National League North | 19:45 | Radcliffe Borough | Chester | 6.67 | 9.09 | 3.13 | 1.91 |