Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Slovakia | Slovakia Cup | 16:00 | Partizán Bardejov | Vranov nad Topľou | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.56 | 2.63 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Austria | Austrian Cup | 18:00 | Floridsdorfer AC | Stripfing | 1.00 | 1.37 | 1.54 | 2.38 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Metalul Buzău | Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 1.00 | 1.52 | 1.54 | 2.50 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:00 | Corvinul Hunedoara | Farul Constanța | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.30 | 2.20 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:00 | Noah | Olimpija | 1.03 | 1.41 | 2.33 | 2.20 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Slovenia | Slovenian Cup | 16:00 | Brežice | Rogaška | 1.01 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 2.50 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | AEK Athens | Anderlecht | 1.00 | 1.41 | 1.61 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Dumbrăviţa | Bihor Oradea | 3.57 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Voluntari | Csikszereda | 1.52 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Baník Ostrava | Celje | 100.00 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.63 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 00:00 | Everton | La Serena | 1.92 | 1.52 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 01:30 | Vasco da Gama | Botafogo | 1.27 | 1.35 | 1.85 | 1.80 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Scotland | Challenge Cup | 19:45 | Hamilton Academical | Edinburgh City | 1.00 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Vysoke Myto | Vysočina Jihlava | 1.01 | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.83 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | ASU Poli Timişoara | CS Dinamo București | 1.00 | 1.52 | 2.22 | 1.91 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Linfield | Shelbourne | 1.00 | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Japan | Emperor Cup | 10:30 | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.43 | 1.95 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Finland | Ykkonen | 16:30 | Lahti | Klubi-04 | 2.86 | 1.89 | 2.63 | 2.25 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 17:45 | Riga | Sparta Praha | 1.79 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Velke Hamry | Dukla Praha | 1.14 | 1.47 | 1.59 | 1.80 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Genk | Lech Poznań | 6.67 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | Şoimii Gura Humorului | Sepsi | 1.14 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.57 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 17:45 | Qarabağ | Ferencvárosi | 1.32 | 1.96 | 2.50 | 2.25 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 18:30 | PAOK | Rijeka | 1.00 | 1.37 | 1.59 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Romania | Romania Cup | 15:30 | CSM Satu Mare | CSM Slatina | 7.69 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:00 | Arda | Raków Częstochowa | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.89 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Korea Republic | Korean Cup | 11:30 | Gangwon | Jeonbuk Motors | 2.17 | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | SK Rapid | Győri ETO | 5.56 | 1.75 | 2.22 | 1.91 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Saudi Arabia | Pro League | 19:00 | Al Ettifaq | Al Kholood | 2.08 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 2.10 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Shamrock Rovers | Santa Clara | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.62 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 21:00 | Fortaleza CEIF | Independiente Medellín | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.82 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 19:15 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Hapoel Migdal Haemek | 1.49 | 1.72 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Rīgas FS | Hamrun Spartans | 1.12 | 1.75 | 1.61 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | AZ | Levski Sofia | 1.00 | 1.72 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:30 | FCSB | Aberdeen | 1.28 | 1.75 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 16:30 | MS Dimona | Hapoel Azor | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:07 | Guadalajara W | Monterrey W | 1.52 | 2.00 | 2.04 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 00:30 | Atlético Bucaramanga | América de Cali | 1.00 | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.62 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 16:00 | KuPS | FC Midtjylland | 1.00 | 2.27 | 2.04 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Japan | Emperor Cup | 10:30 | Machida Zelvia | Kashima Antlers | 1.43 | 1.79 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Golden Arrows | Magesi | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.72 | 1.44 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 01:00 | Deportivo Pereira | Real Cundinamarca | 1.00 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.53 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:30 | Universitatea Craiova | İstanbul Başakşehir | 1.00 | 2.17 | 2.13 | 2.10 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | Dinamo City | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1.23 | 1.92 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Virtus | Breidablik | 1.03 | 1.82 | 2.17 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 23:30 | Atlético Mineiro | Cruzeiro | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Spain | La Liga | 20:00 | Celta de Vigo | Real Betis | 1.00 | 2.38 | 2.08 | 2.25 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | FC Utrecht | Zrinjski | 3.33 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:00 | Sokol Lanžhot | Hanácká | 1.00 | 2.27 | 1.85 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Israel | State Cup | 17:30 | MS Jerusalem | Tzeirey Tira | 16.67 | 2.00 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | Legia Warszawa | Hibernian | 1.00 | 2.08 | 2.33 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Fulham | Bristol City | 5.00 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 17:30 | AEK Larnaca | Brann | 1.00 | 2.22 | 2.44 | 2.00 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | South Africa | Premier League | 18:30 | Sekhukhune United | AmaZulu | 1.03 | 1.79 | 1.52 | 1.57 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 23:30 | Bahia | Fluminense | 5.88 | 1.92 | 1.52 | 1.70 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Kauno Žalgiris | Hegelmann Litauen | 1.92 | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2.20 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 02:30 | Atlético Nacional | Deportes Quindío | 1.00 | 2.04 | 1.85 | 1.73 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Pachuca W | Atlas W | 1.69 | 2.17 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 22:00 | Alianza Petrolera | Santa Fe | 1.00 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Petřín Plzeň | Motorlet Praha | 1.00 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 2.25 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Austria | Austrian Cup | 19:30 | SV Horn | LASK Linz | 1.00 | 2.22 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 20:00 | FSV Mainz 05 | Rosenborg | 1.00 | 2.33 | 3.13 | 1.83 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Brazil | Copa do Brasil | 01:30 | Athletico PR | Corinthians | 1.00 | 2.08 | 1.82 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | FK Brandys nad Labem | Slovan Liberec | 9.09 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.44 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 18:00 | Beşiktaş | Lausanne Sport | 4.35 | 2.70 | 2.33 | 2.10 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | England | Carabao Cup | 19:45 | Oxford United | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.00 | 2.56 | 2.50 | 1.95 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Rokycany | Mladá Boleslav | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.36 |
0 | 28/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Jiskra Domažlice | Písek | 1.00 | 2.63 | 2.33 | 1.91 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | Bospor Bohumín | Karviná | 2.17 | 2.27 | 2.00 | 1.53 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Germany | DFB Pokal | 19:45 | Wehen Wiesbaden | FC Bayern München | 1.01 | 2.44 | 2.86 | 1.57 |
0 | 27/08/2025 | Czech Republic | Czech Cup | 16:30 | TJ Tatran Bohunice | Zbrojovka Brno | 1.00 | 2.33 | 1.89 | 1.40 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | Benfica | Fenerbahçe | 1.05 | 2.78 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | Club Brugge | Rangers | 5.56 | 3.33 | 2.44 | 2.25 |
1 | 27/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 20:00 | FC København | Basel | 1.41 | 3.23 | 2.63 | 2.00 |
1 | 28/08/2025 | Europe | Europa League | 19:00 | Young Boys | Slovan Bratislava | 6.25 | 4.55 | 2.94 | 2.25 |