Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
Welcome to the Poisson Distribution BTTS No – Odds for football betting & trading. Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. Poisson distribution has been successfully used in models to predict football scores probabilities and pricing up matches. Learn more about Poisson here.
We provide you with 3 Poisson Distribution Models for Football Betting & Trading
Usually, Poisson Distribution models are calculated on the current season’s stats only. We give you more insight by preparing 3 separate models:
- Short Term Model*– calculated on stats from current season’s only
- Medium Term Model – based on stats from the last 20 matches.
- Long Term Model – covering stats from the last 50 matches.
All stats are taken from single competitions only, e.g. for Premier League fixtures, we use only matches from the Premier League. Feel free to browse the Poisson stats below. The upcoming matches are available for FTT & PRO members only.
* The short term model needs at least 10 matches of the new season for more reliable odds predictions. At the beginning of the seasons, the CS fields may be empty.
How to use Poisson Distribution odds for football betting & trading?
We calculate all the odds for you, so you don’t need to do any calculations. The 3 Poisson models will give you 3 separate prices for a given outcome.
Let’s take, for example, the over 2.5 goals market and the following figures:
- CS – 1.6
- L20 – 1.7
- L50 – 1.55
Current Over 2.5 goals odds are 1.5.
Looking at the 3 odds figures above, we can quickly state that the 1.5 odds seem to be a poor value for this match as the calculated/fair odds for the 3 given models are significantly higher.
It’s worth noting that the current season’s odds will be more accurate after more matches are played. Therefore, you may want to consider them once there are 10 league game weeks played or so.
Ideally, you would like to find matches with all 3 odds lower than the current available price. However, once you find such matches, you may wish to analyse them in more detail to determine whether your shortlisted picks represent value or try learning about other important reasons for the odds to be suspiciously higher than they should be.
Poisson Distribution BTTS No Odds
You are browsing past 2 days matches stats. Current (Today's and 2 days in advance) statistics are available for FTT & PRO members only!
Learn more about our subscription options and subscribe now!M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Date | Country | Competition | KO | Home | Away | CS | L20 | L50 | odds |
0 | 04/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 20:00 | Liverpool | Athletic Club | 4.76 | 1.52 | 1.61 | 2.20 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Pumas UNAM W | Cruz Azul W | 1.14 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 2.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 17:00 | HJK | Inter Turku | 2.44 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.63 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Serbia | Super Liga | 18:00 | Železničar Pančevo | Napredak | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.96 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Chile | Primera Division | 23:00 | Universidad Chile | Cobresal | 1.79 | 1.49 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Poland | Polish Cup | 17:00 | Podbeskidzie | Resovia Rzeszów | 1.49 | 1.56 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 19:30 | Rapid Bucuresti | Botoşani | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 17:45 | Ashdod | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1.00 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: North | 18:00 | Vasalund | Hammarby Talang | 2.08 | 2.04 | 2.13 | 2.38 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 18:00 | Alianza Universidad | Universitario | 1.39 | 1.49 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | World | Club Friendlies 1 | 12:00 | Daegu | FC Barcelona | 4.76 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Pachuca W | Toluca W | 1.56 | 2.17 | 2.56 | 2.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera B Nacional | 01:10 | Defensores de Belgrano | Deportivo Morón | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.43 | 1.50 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Deportivo Muñiz | El Porvenir | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.72 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 20:00 | Brusque | Itabaiana | 1.19 | 1.28 | 1.39 | 1.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Finn Harps | Bray Wanderers | 2.13 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 2.10 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:00 | Dynamo Kyiv | Paphos | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Africa | African Nations Championship | 15:00 | Niger | Guinea | 1.67 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 22:30 | Deportivo Recoleta | Guaraní | 1.69 | 1.69 | 2.56 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 23:30 | Ituano | Londrina | 1.72 | 1.56 | 1.72 | 1.67 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:00 | Melgar | Juan Pablo II College | 1.69 | 1.47 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Allsvenskan | 18:00 | IFK Göteborg | Degerfors | 3.33 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 2.05 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 23:00 | Pacific | Cavalry | 1.79 | 1.61 | 1.85 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 20:00 | Sportivo Ameliano | Libertad | 1.33 | 1.47 | 1.56 | 1.53 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:45 | Rangers | Viktoria Plzeň | 1.00 | 1.85 | 2.22 | 1.91 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bulgaria | Parva Liga | 17:00 | Cherno More | Beroe | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Athlone Town | UCD | 1.61 | 1.96 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Claypole | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1.92 | 1.41 | 1.69 | 1.44 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Europa Conference League | 19:45 | KÍ | Neman Grodno | 1.00 | 1.82 | 1.96 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Paraguay | Division 1 | 22:30 | Atlético Tembetary | General Caballero JLM | 1.85 | 1.67 | 1.79 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Kakkonen | 16:30 | VJS | PEPO | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.78 | 2.25 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 02:00 | Santos Laguna W | Guadalajara W | 1.02 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.80 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 19:00 | Skendija 79 | Qarabağ | 1.00 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Colombia | Liga BetPlay | 02:30 | Rionegro Águilas | Fortaleza CEIF | 1.54 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.62 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Romania | Liga 1 | 17:00 | Unirea Slobozia | Otelul | 0.00 | 1.79 | 1.54 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Superettan | 18:00 | Umeå | Falkenberg | 2.17 | 2.50 | 2.78 | 2.38 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Hässleholms IF | Ariana | 1.72 | 2.22 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Dundalk | Longford Town | 1.61 | 1.96 | 1.96 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 18:00 | Žalgiris | Kauno Žalgiris | 1.28 | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 19:15 | Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Ra'anana | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Skövde AIK | IFK Skovde | 4.76 | 2.56 | 3.03 | 2.38 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 21:00 | Sport Boys | ADT | 2.78 | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.80 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Colombia | Copa Betplay | 22:00 | Cúcuta Deportivo | Atlético Nacional | 1.85 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Al | 18:00 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.69 | 2.22 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
1 | 05/08/2025 | Europe | Champions League | 18:00 | Malmö FF | FC København | 1.00 | 1.89 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Poland | 1. Liga | 18:00 | Tychy 71 | Wisła Kraków | 8.33 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 2.20 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:30 | Džiugas Telšiai | Hegelmann Litauen | 1.61 | 2.08 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 01:00 | Delfin | Vinotinto FC | 1.30 | 2.08 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bulgaria | Parva Liga | 19:15 | Botev Plovdiv | Arda | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.64 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Canada | Premier League | 20:00 | HFX Wanderers | Vancouver FC | 2.13 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 01:00 | Cienciano | Los Chankas | 3.23 | 2.13 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 16:00 | Hapoel Hadera | Hapoel Acre | 2.50 | 2.22 | 1.96 | 1.91 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 01:30 | Cuiabá | Volta Redonda | 1.49 | 1.89 | 2.86 | 1.57 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Cobh Ramblers | Wexford Youths | 1.89 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 2.10 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Lithuania | A Lyga | 17:00 | Banga | FA Šiauliai | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Finland | Veikkausliiga | 16:00 | Ilves | Gnistan | 2.08 | 2.70 | 3.13 | 2.25 |
1 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie A | 00:00 | Santos | Juventude | 1.20 | 2.27 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Sweden | Ettan: South | 18:00 | Trollhättan | Ljungskile | 3.85 | 3.13 | 2.94 | 2.63 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Argentina | Primera C | 19:30 | Berazategui | Central Córdoba | 1.56 | 2.04 | 1.69 | 1.53 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Republic of Ireland | First Division | 17:00 | Treaty United | Kerry | 2.50 | 2.56 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 22:30 | Always Ready | Nacional Potosí | 1.75 | 2.94 | 2.44 | 2.38 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie C | 23:30 | Confiança | Anápolis | 4.17 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Bolivia | Liga De Futbol Prof | 20:30 | Oriente Petrolero | Aurora | 2.94 | 3.23 | 1.89 | 2.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Peru | Primera Division | 19:00 | UTC Cajamarca | Cusco FC | 1.79 | 2.70 | 2.13 | 1.91 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Mexico | Liga Mx Women | 00:00 | Atlético San Luis W | Juárez W | 1.00 | 2.70 | 2.33 | 1.91 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 18:00 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2.94 | 2.70 | 2.50 | 1.73 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Brazil | Serie B | 23:00 | Athletic Club | Atlético GO | 1.85 | 2.78 | 2.56 | 1.57 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Iceland | Pepsideild | 20:15 | ÍA | Valur | 2.04 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 2.50 |
0 | 04/08/2025 | Israel | Toto Cup Ligat Leumit | 18:00 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Ironi Modi'in | 2.56 | 3.23 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
0 | 05/08/2025 | Australia | Npl Queensland | 10:45 | SC Wanderers | Eastern Suburbs Brisbane | 1.61 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 2.75 |